Match Result Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers — 27.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

The Collingwood Magpies have shown strong form in their last ten matches, winning eight and losing two, with a recent victory against the Richmond Tigers where they scored 106 points. They have averaged 88.8 points per game at home, showcasing their scoring prowess. In contrast, the Richmond Tigers have struggled, winning only two of their last ten matches, with a significant loss to the Sydney Swans where they conceded 170 points.

Collingwood's home advantage is notable, as they have won 83% of their head-to-head matches against Richmond, further solidifying their position as favorites in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Statistically, Collingwood leads in key metrics such as disposals, averaging 386.3 per game compared to Richmond's 336.9. Their ability to control the game through disposals and clearances (31.2 for Collingwood vs. 31.3 for Richmond) gives them an edge. Additionally, Collingwood's scoring trend shows they have consistently scored above 80 points, while Richmond has struggled to reach that mark, averaging only 66 points in their last ten matches.

The venue, Melbourne Cricket Ground, favors Collingwood, who have a strong home record. Richmond's recent form and defensive vulnerabilities make it difficult for them to compete effectively against a high-scoring team like Collingwood.

Collingwood Magpies — Richmond Tigers Prediction

• Exact Score: 106 – 72
• Q1: 26 – 18
• Q2: 28 – 20
• Q3: 24 – 18
• Q4: 28 – 16
• Total points: 178
• Winning margin: 34
• Disposals: 387 – 380
• Kicks: 216 – 199
• Handballs: 171 – 181
• Total Clearances: 30 – 31
• Marks: 122 – 94
• Tackles: 61 – 37
• Hitouts: 25 – 33
• Goal Assists: 12 – 9
• Free Kicks: 17 – 16

Collingwood's tactical approach will likely focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their superior kicking and marking skills to create scoring opportunities. Richmond will need to improve their defensive structure to contain Collingwood's scoring threats effectively.

3 Reasons Why Collingwood Magpies Will Win

• Home Advantage: Collingwood has a strong home record, winning 83% of their matches against Richmond at the MCG.
• Recent Form: Collingwood's recent form includes a high-scoring average, while Richmond has struggled to score consistently.
• Head-to-Head Dominance: Collingwood has won five out of the last six encounters, indicating a psychological edge in this matchup.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

27.06.2026 06:15 AFL Premiership

Collingwood Magpies

Richmond Tigers

106 72

26 18

28 20

24 18

28 16

178 —

+34 -34

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 387 380

Kicks 216 199

Handballs 171 181

Total Clearances 30 31

Marks 122 94

Tackles 61 37

Hitouts 25 33

Goal Assists 12 9

Free Kicks 17 16