Prediction Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers — 27.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

The Collingwood Magpies have shown strong form in their recent games, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches. They scored an average of 82.6 points per game while conceding 79.0 points, indicating a solid offensive and defensive balance. In contrast, the Richmond Tigers have struggled, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches, averaging just 66.2 points scored while allowing a staggering 104.6 points against. This stark difference in form suggests that Collingwood enters this match with a significant advantage.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Historically, Collingwood has dominated their recent encounters with Richmond, winning 4 out of the last 5 matchups. The Magpies have averaged 84.4 points per game against the Tigers, while Richmond has only managed 71.4 points per game in these encounters. Additionally, playing at the Melbourne Cricket Ground provides a home advantage for Collingwood, further enhancing their chances of victory. The Tigers' recent performance metrics, particularly in scoring, indicate a need for improvement to compete effectively.

Collingwood Magpies — Richmond Tigers Prediction

• Exact Score: 92 – 68
• Q1: 24 – 18
• Q2: 22 – 16
• Q3: 26 – 20
• Q4: 20 – 14
• Total points: 160
• Winning margin: 24
• Disposals: 370 – 310
• Kicks: 210 – 180
• Handballs: 160 – 130
• Total Clearances: 30 – 28
• Marks: 100 – 75
• Tackles: 60 – 50
• Hitouts: 25 – 20
• Goal Assists: 10 – 8
• Free Kicks: 15 – 20

Collingwood's strategy will likely focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their superior disposal efficiency, while Richmond will need to tighten their defensive structures to avoid conceding easy goals. The Magpies are expected to leverage their home ground familiarity to dictate the pace of the game.

3 Reasons Why Collingwood Magpies Will Win

• Recent Form: Collingwood has won 4 of their last 5 games, while Richmond has only 1 win in the same span, highlighting a significant disparity in current performance.
• Head-to-Head Record: In their last 5 encounters, Collingwood has won 4 times, showcasing their dominance over Richmond in recent matchups.
• Home Advantage: Playing at the Melbourne Cricket Ground gives Collingwood a crucial edge, as they have historically performed well at this venue.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

27.06.2026 06:15 AFL Premiership

Collingwood Magpies

Richmond Tigers

92 68

24 18

22 16

26 20

20 14

160 —

+24 -24

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 370 310

Kicks 210 180

Handballs 160 130

Total Clearances 30 28

Marks 100 75

Tackles 60 50

Hitouts 25 20

Goal Assists 10 8

Free Kicks 15 20