Prediction Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos — 21.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

The Richmond Tigers have struggled recently, losing their last five matches, including a significant defeat against the North Melbourne Kangaroos earlier this season. Their form shows a concerning trend, averaging only 48 points in their last match against North Melbourne, while conceding 73 points. In contrast, the North Melbourne Kangaroos have been in better form, winning their last match and showing a more consistent scoring ability, averaging 70.8 points per game over their last ten matches.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Richmond's recent performances have been marked by a lack of scoring efficiency, averaging just 66.2 points for and 104.6 points against in their last ten games. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has demonstrated a stronger offensive output, with an average of 70.8 points for and 102.8 points against. The head-to-head record heavily favors North Melbourne, who have won six out of the last eight encounters, indicating a significant psychological advantage. Additionally, Richmond's home ground advantage at the Melbourne Cricket Ground may not be enough to overcome their current form and North Melbourne's recent successes.

Richmond Tigers — North Melbourne Kangaroos Prediction

• Exact Score: 48 – 73
• Q1: 10 – 20
• Q2: 12 – 18
• Q3: 15 – 20
• Q4: 11 – 15
• Total points: 121
• Winning margin: 25
• Disposals: 332 – 390
• Kicks: 187 – 235
• Handballs: 145 – 155
• Total Clearances: 23 – 25
• Marks: 90 – 134
• Tackles: 38 – 56
• Hitouts: 26 – 30
• Goal Assists: 2 – 8
• Free Kicks: 15 – 19

North Melbourne is likely to focus on maintaining their scoring momentum while exploiting Richmond's defensive lapses. Expect them to apply pressure early, aiming for a strong start to establish control of the game. Richmond may struggle to keep pace, particularly if they cannot improve their scoring efficiency.

3 Reasons Why North Melbourne Kangaroos Will Win

• Recent Form: North Melbourne has shown better form recently, winning their last match while Richmond has lost five in a row.
• Head-to-Head Record: North Melbourne has won six out of the last eight encounters, indicating a strong psychological edge.
• Scoring Consistency: North Melbourne averages 70.8 points per game, while Richmond averages only 66.2 points, highlighting a significant offensive disparity.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

21.06.2026 03:10 AFL Premiership

Richmond Tigers

North Melbourne Kangaroos

48 73

10 20

12 18

15 20

11 15

121 —

-25 +25

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 332 390

Kicks 187 235

Handballs 145 155

Total Clearances 23 25

Marks 90 134

Tackles 38 56

Hitouts 26 30

Goal Assists 2 8

Free Kicks 15 19