Nantes vs Toulouse – Prediction (17.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Nantes has shown a mixed form in their last ten matches, with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws. Their recent performance includes a notable victory against Marseille (3-0) but a disappointing loss to Lens (0-1). In contrast, Toulouse has been more consistent, securing 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last ten outings, including a recent win over Lyon (2-1).

When looking at their aggregate performance, Nantes has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game while conceding 1.4, whereas Toulouse has managed 1.8 goals per game but has also conceded 2.2. This indicates a slight edge in offensive capabilities for Toulouse, while Nantes struggles defensively.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Toulouse holds a slight advantage with 6 wins compared to Nantes' 5, and 4 matches ending in a draw. The average goals per game in these encounters is 2.60, suggesting a competitive matchup. Recent matches have seen both teams score, with a 67% rate of both teams finding the net in their last 15 meetings.

Statistically, Nantes has struggled with ball possession, averaging around 36% in their last match against Lens, while Toulouse managed 39% against Lyon. The expected goals (xG) for Nantes in their last match was 1.05, indicating they need to improve their finishing to convert chances into goals.

Nantes — Toulouse Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 1
• 1st Half: 0 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 1
• Corners: 6 vs 6
• Fouls: 14 vs 14
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 2
• Shots on target: 4 vs 4
• Offsides: 2 vs 2
• Possession: 50% vs 50%

In terms of tactical expectations, Nantes may adopt a more aggressive approach at home, pressing high to regain possession quickly, while Toulouse could focus on counter-attacks, utilizing their pace on the wings to exploit any defensive lapses from Nantes.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Recent Head-to-Head Results. The last five encounters have seen both teams share points, indicating a balanced rivalry.
• Home Advantage. Nantes has a strong home record, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown weaknesses in defense, leading to high-scoring draws in recent matches.

Match Prediction

17.05.2026 19:00 Ligue 1

Nantes 1 0 1

Toulouse 1 0 1

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