TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz – Prediction (10.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

TSV Hartberg has struggled in recent matches, with only 1 win in their last 10 games, scoring a total of 7 goals and conceding 12. Their average goals per game stands at 1.4, while they have been particularly vulnerable defensively, allowing an average of 2.4 goals per game. In contrast, Sturm Graz has shown a more robust form, securing 5 wins in their last 10 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 6, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

The head-to-head record also favors Sturm Graz, who have won 9 out of the last 15 encounters, indicating a significant psychological edge over Hartberg.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last match, Sturm Graz defeated TSV Hartberg 4-2, showcasing their attacking prowess with a total of 4 goals scored. They have consistently outperformed Hartberg in terms of shots on target and overall possession, averaging 53% possession in their recent matches. Hartberg's defensive frailties are highlighted by their average of 21 fouls per game, which could lead to increased pressure from set pieces against Sturm Graz, who are adept at capitalizing on such opportunities.

Sturm Graz's recent matches have seen them maintain a higher expected goals (xG) ratio, further emphasizing their attacking efficiency compared to Hartberg, who have struggled to create clear-cut chances.

TSV Hartberg — Sturm Graz Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 3
• 1st Half: 0 vs 2
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 3
• Corners: 5 vs 5
• Fouls: 12 vs 10
• Yellow Cards: 3 vs 2
• Shots on target: 3 vs 6
• Offsides: 1 vs 2
• Possession: 45% vs 55%

Tactically, Sturm Graz is expected to dominate possession and apply pressure high up the pitch, exploiting Hartberg's defensive lapses. Hartberg may adopt a more counter-attacking approach, but their lack of pace and creativity could hinder their effectiveness against a well-organized Sturm Graz defense.

3 Reasons Why Sturm Graz Will Win

• Strong Recent Form. Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 10 matches, showcasing a solid attacking front with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. Historically, Sturm Graz has dominated the fixture with 9 wins out of 15 encounters, instilling confidence in their players.
• Defensive Solidity. Sturm Graz has conceded only 6 goals in their last 10 matches, indicating a robust defensive setup that can withstand Hartberg's attacks.

Match Prediction

10.05.2026 15:00 Bundesliga

TSV Hartberg 1 0 1

Sturm Graz 3 2 1

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