Rayo Vallecano vs Girona – Prediction (11.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Rayo Vallecano has shown strong form in their last ten matches, winning six and losing only two. They have scored a total of 8 goals and conceded just 3, averaging 1.6 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.6 goals against per game. In contrast, Girona has struggled, with only 5 goals scored and 7 conceded in their last ten matches, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.4 against.

This disparity in form suggests that Rayo Vallecano is currently in a more favorable position heading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Rayo Vallecano has a slight edge with 7 wins out of 15 matches against Girona, compared to Girona's 5 victories. The average goals per game in these matchups is 2.53, indicating a competitive nature. Additionally, Rayo Vallecano's recent performance metrics show a higher expected goals (xG) output, which supports their offensive capabilities. Girona's recent matches have seen them struggle with both scoring and defensive solidity, which could be a critical factor in this upcoming fixture.

Furthermore, Rayo Vallecano's recent matches have seen them maintain a higher possession percentage, which could allow them to control the game and create more scoring opportunities.

Rayo Vallecano — Girona

• Exact Score: 2 vs 1
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 2 vs 1
• Corners: 5 vs 3
• Fouls: 14 vs 12
• Yellow Cards: 3 vs 2
• Shots on target: 6 vs 4
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 55% vs 45%

Expect Rayo Vallecano to adopt an aggressive approach, utilizing their pace on the wings to stretch Girona's defense. They may focus on quick transitions and exploiting any gaps left by Girona's backline, especially given Girona's recent struggles with maintaining defensive shape.

3 Reasons Why Rayo Vallecano Will Win

• Strong Recent Form. Rayo Vallecano has won six of their last ten matches, showcasing their ability to secure victories consistently.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. Historically, Rayo Vallecano has won 7 out of 15 encounters against Girona, indicating a psychological edge.
• Defensive Solidity. With only 3 goals conceded in their last ten matches, Rayo Vallecano's defense has proven to be resilient, which will be crucial against Girona's inconsistent attack.

Match Prediction

11.05.2026 19:00 La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 2 1 1

Girona 1 0 1

53

32

00