M. Dahlin is at a crucial juncture in his career, with a baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. His trajectory has been stable over the last two years, yet he has not secured a win in his last five outings. This consistency is overshadowed by a lack of recent competitive success, which poses challenges against more seasoned opponents.
Match results: M. Dahlin
10 Jun 2026M25 Varnamo
P. Munkhammar
M. Dahlin
00
L
27 Sep 2025M15 Ann Arbor, MI
M. Dahlin
R. Perot
02
46
26
L
26 Sep 2025M15 Ann Arbor, MI
M. Dahlin
E. Bynoe
20
76
61
W
25 Sep 2025M15 Ann Arbor, MI
A. Magadan
M. Dahlin
02
36
57
W
23 Sep 2025M15 Ann Arbor, MI
M. Dahlin
M. Thomson
21
36
64
W
22 Aug 2025M15 Bastad 2
N. Slavic
M. Dahlin
10
64
L
21 Aug 2025M15 Bastad 2
M. Dahlin
J. Hallquist Lithen
20
63
63
W
19 Aug 2025M15 Bastad 2
L. Bataljin
M. Dahlin
02
06
36
W
13 Aug 2025M15 Ystad
J. Mridha
M. Dahlin
10
63
L
1 Dec 2023M15 Limassol 2
M. Dahlin
D. De Jonge
01
26
55
L
S. Baez
Player Overview
S. Baez enters this match carrying a career baseline win percentage around 50% on hard courts, with a recent decline in form evident from his last ten matches. His Elo rating reflects a drop, and while he has shown flashes of potential, his recent trend is downward, especially following a tough loss to J-L. Struff at Wimbledon.
Match results: S. Baez
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
J-L. Struff
S. Baez
32
61
46
26
75
L
25 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
S. Baez
A. Shevchenko
20
64
64
W
24 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
H. Hurkacz
S. Baez
20
75
61
L
23 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
S. Baez
T. Kokkinakis
01
46
L
7 Jun 2026Prostejov
S. Baez
A. Molcan
20
64
62
W
6 Jun 2026Prostejov
S. Baez
N. Sanchez Izquierdo
10
62
W
5 Jun 2026Prostejov
S. Baez
M. Mrva
20
64
75
W
3 Jun 2026Prostejov
S. Baez
T. Boyer
20
62
64
W
2 Jun 2026Prostejov
S. Baez
S. Gueymard Wayenburg
20
64
63
W
26 May 2026ATP French Open
S. Baez
R. A. Burruchaga
13
62
57
26
L
Players Analysis
M. Dahlin has shown a strong performance in his recent matches, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches. His victories include a solid 2-0 win against E. Bynoe and a convincing 2-0 against M. Thomson. Dahlin's recent form indicates a reliable serve and a strong ability to close out matches. On the other hand, S. Baez has had a mixed bag of results, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable 2-0 victory against A. Molcan. However, he has also suffered defeats, including a recent loss to J-L. Struff where he lost 2-3. This inconsistency may affect his confidence going into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of overall performance, M. Dahlin has a goals for average of 1.4 and goals against average of 0.5 in his last 10 matches, showcasing his ability to both score and defend effectively. S. Baez, while scoring an average of 1.3 goals, has a higher goals against average of 0.8, indicating he may be more vulnerable defensively. The absence of head-to-head matches between the two players means that their previous encounters cannot influence the outcome, but Dahlin's recent form on similar surfaces gives him a slight edge.
M. Dahlin — S. Baez Prediction
Given the current form and statistical analysis, M. Dahlin is predicted to win this match against S. Baez. The expected score is likely to be 2-0 in sets, with Dahlin taking both sets decisively. His recent performances suggest he will maintain pressure on Baez, capitalizing on any weaknesses in his opponent's game.
Final score in sets: 2-0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - M. Dahlin, Set 2 - M. Dahlin
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 3
In terms of tactics, M. Dahlin is expected to utilize aggressive baseline play, focusing on his serve to gain early advantages in games. He will likely aim to exploit S. Baez's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly by targeting his forehand. Dahlin's ability to maintain pressure will be crucial in securing a straight-sets victory.
3 Reasons Why M. Dahlin Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Dahlin 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Dahlin.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Dahlin has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than S. Baez, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
13.07.2026 10:00Bastad
M. Dahlin
S. Baez
20
1100
53
23
31
Where to watch M. Dahlin vs S. Baez
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