10.07.2026 • Updated: 11.07.2026

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ATP Umag

Match Result L. Nardi vs A. Guerrieri — 11.07.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 151

L. Nardi - A. Guerrieri

Umag Semi-finals

July 11, 2026 • 17:00

0—1

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 248

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1

H2H W-L 0-0-1

Avg sets per match 1.00

Last 5 W-L 0-1

Last 3 W-L 0-1

Current streak L1

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 1.00

Sets range 1-1

3-set matches 0 (0%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/0

0% 0 Wins

0% 0 Draws

100% 1 Wins

Last 1 match

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

11 Jul 2026

L. Nardi - A. Guerrieri

0:1 (3-6)

ATP Umag

—

L. Nardi

Player Overview

L. Nardi has been navigating a challenging phase in his career, marked by a baseline win percentage hovering around 44% on hard courts. His current trajectory suggests a decline, as he has struggled to find consistency in recent tournaments. The lack of victories in his last five matches underscores the difficulties he faces, particularly as he transitions from junior to professional ranks.

Nardi's recent outings reveal a mixed bag, highlighted by a win against R. Bertola in Nottingham but marred by a loss to O. Virtanen at Wimbledon. With no wins in his last five matches, he enters this fixture against A. Guerrieri under pressure to turn things around. His previous performances suggest he needs to elevate his game significantly to compete effectively in Umag.

Match results: L. Nardi

11 Jul 2026 ATP Umag

L. Nardi

A. Guerrieri

0 1

3 6

24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

L. Nardi

O. Virtanen

0 2

4 6

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

R. Noguchi

L. Nardi

0 2

2 6

3 6

15 Jun 2026 Nottingham

L. Nardi

R. Bertola

1 0

6 3

14 Jun 2026 Nottingham

L. Nardi

G. Hussey

2 0

6 3

6 2

13 Jun 2026 Nottingham

L. Nardi

O. Weightman

2 1

3 6

6 3

6 4

10 Jun 2026 Ilkley

L. Nardi

J. Fearnley

1 2

6 4

0 6

3 6

4 Jun 2026 Perugia

L. Nardi

R. Bertola

1 2

2 6

6 4

3 6

2 Jun 2026 Perugia

L. Nardi

O. Roca Batalla

1 0

6 4

29 May 2026 Chisinau

G. A. Olivieri

L. Nardi

2 1

6 0

3 6

A. Guerrieri

Player Overview

A. Guerrieri has experienced a turbulent stretch, reflected in his current form, which shows signs of decline. His baseline win percentage is around 37% on hard courts, indicating ongoing challenges in maintaining competitive form. Guerrieri's Elo rating suggests he is positioned in a lower tier, struggling against formidable opponents in recent matches.

Match results: A. Guerrieri

11 Jul 2026 ATP Umag

L. Nardi

A. Guerrieri

0 1

3 6

9 Jul 2026 Trieste

A. Guerrieri

H. Dellien

0 2

1 6

2 6

7 Jul 2026 Trieste

A. Guerrieri

O. Roca Batalla

2 0

6 4

24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

A. Guerrieri

K. Jacquet

0 1

4 6

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

A. Guerrieri

D. Goffin

2 1

3 6

7 5

6 2

15 Jun 2026 Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification

A. Guerrieri

C. Broom

0 2

1 6

4 6

14 Jun 2026 Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification

A. Guerrieri

F. Romano

2 0

6 2

12 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification

F. Forti

A. Guerrieri

1 0

6 4

10 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification

A. Vasilev

A. Guerrieri

0 1

5 7

8 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification

A. Guerrieri

D. Svrcina

2 1

6 3

3 6

6 4

L. Nardi - A. Guerrieri Match Result

A. Guerrieri Dominates in Semi-Final Showdown

A. Guerrieri secured a decisive victory over L. Nardi with a match score of 1:0 in the semi-finals of the ATP Umag tournament.

The only set played concluded with a score of 3-6, showcasing Guerrieri's ability to capitalize on crucial moments. He won 7 breaks compared to Nardi's 4, demonstrating a superior return game.

Throughout the match, Guerrieri held serve 13 times out of 17 service games, while Nardi managed to hold only 10 times. This disparity in service holds contributed significantly to the overall scoreline.

Guerrieri's performance was marked by a 68% success rate on first serve points, which contrasted with Nardi's 61%. The match saw a total of 34 games played, with Guerrieri winning 6 games to Nardi's 3, reflecting his dominance on the court.

This victory propels A. Guerrieri into the finals, where he will look to continue his strong form.

Players Analysis

L. Nardi has struggled in recent matches, losing his last three outings, including a semi-final match against A. Guerrieri where he lost 0:1. His performance has been inconsistent, with only one win in his last ten matches. On the other hand, A. Guerrieri has shown better form, winning two of his last three matches, including a victory over Nardi. This gives Guerrieri a psychological edge going into their next encounter.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their previous head-to-head match, A. Guerrieri defeated L. Nardi in straight sets, winning 3-6. This result indicates that Guerrieri has the upper hand in their matchups. Additionally, Nardi's recent form shows he has been unable to secure wins, while Guerrieri has been more successful in his recent matches, suggesting a trend that could continue in their next meeting.

L. Nardi — A. Guerrieri Prediction

Given the recent performances and head-to-head results, A. Guerrieri is favored to win against L. Nardi. The prediction is for A. Guerrieri to win in straight sets, reflecting his current form and past success against Nardi.

Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - A. Guerrieri, Set 2 - A. Guerrieri
Expected aces: 4
Double faults: 2
Break points: 3

A. Guerrieri's ability to maintain pressure on Nardi's serve will be crucial. If he can capitalize on break points and maintain a strong first serve, he should be able to secure a straightforward victory.

3 Reasons Why A. Guerrieri Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Guerrieri 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Guerrieri.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Guerrieri has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than L. Nardi, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

11.07.2026 17:00 Umag

L. Nardi

A. Guerrieri

0 2

0 0 1 1