Gonzalo Bueno enters this match with a career baseline win percentage near 56%, but his current trajectory has been troubling as he trends downward. This season, his performance on hard courts has not matched expectations, which is evident in his recent results. A string of losses, including a straight-set defeat to Laslo Djere at Braunschweig, raises questions about his ability to compete at this level.
Bueno's last five matches reveal a stark contrast between his two victories in Poznan and the subsequent defeats that followed. He has yet to secure a win in his last three outings, which includes a disappointing showing at Wimbledon against Jan Kym. If he can't turn the tide against Igor Marcondes, his confidence may further erode, complicating his path forward in this tournament.
Match results: G. Bueno
7 Jul 2026Braunschweig
L. Djere
G. Bueno
20
61
62
L
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
J. Kym
G. Bueno
21
46
75
61
L
18 Jun 2026Poznan
G. Bueno
D. Svrcina
02
26
36
L
17 Jun 2026Poznan
G. Bueno
F. Ferreira Silva
20
64
63
W
16 Jun 2026Poznan
G. Bueno
T. Berkieta
10
63
W
9 Jun 2026Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
G. Bueno
F. Forti
12
57
64
L
2 Jun 2026Perugia
G. Bueno
D. Lajovic
02
46
16
L
26 May 2026Vicenza
T. Compagnucci
G. Bueno
10
63
L
21 May 2026ATP French Open
T. Samuel
G. Bueno
21
57
61
63
L
20 May 2026ATP French Open
G. Bueno
V. Sachko
20
62
64
W
I. Marcondes
Player Overview
Igor Marcondes carries a career baseline win percentage around 50%, reflecting a player still searching for consistency. His recent form has been declining, highlighted by a series of losses, including a recent setback against F. J. Planinsek in Nottingham. Marcondes' ability to perform under pressure has been questioned, especially on hard surfaces where he often struggles to convert opportunities.
In his last five matches, Marcondes managed only one win against Lucas Staeheli, yet his losses have been against formidable opponents. The defeat against L. Giustino in Troyes was particularly telling, as he failed to capitalize on early chances. Facing Bueno, who is also in a slump, provides a unique opportunity; however, if Marcondes does not seize this moment, he risks further diminishing his competitive standing.
Match results: I. Marcondes
7 Jul 2026Nottingham 4
F. J. Planinsek
I. Marcondes
20
76
63
L
3 Jul 2026Troyes
L. Giustino
I. Marcondes
21
46
61
L
1 Jul 2026Troyes
L. Staeheli
I. Marcondes
01
06
W
29 Jun 2026Troyes
I. Marcondes
T. Faurel
21
36
64
W
25 Mar 2026Sao Paulo
A. Barrena
I. Marcondes
21
64
16
L
11 Mar 2026Santiago
I. Marcondes
N. Moreno De Alboran
12
75
36
46
L
10 Mar 2026Santiago
J. Faria
I. Marcondes
02
46
57
W
9 Mar 2026Santiago
I. Marcondes
D. A. Nunez
21
46
63
60
W
8 Mar 2026Santiago
I. Marcondes
M. Cossu
20
63
63
W
4 Mar 2026Brasilia 2
I. Marcondes
G. Heide
12
46
64
46
L
Players Analysis
G. Bueno has shown mixed results in his recent matches, with a record of 4 wins and 6 losses in his last 10 matches. His performance has been inconsistent, particularly in higher-tier tournaments, as evidenced by his recent loss to L. Djere in Braunschweig. In contrast, I. Marcondes has had a slightly better run, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable victory against L. Staeheli in Troyes. This recent form gives Marcondes a slight edge heading into this matchup.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Both players have been competing in Challenger events recently, with G. Bueno scoring 8 games in his last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 games per match, while I. Marcondes has scored 13 games, averaging 1.3 games per match. This indicates that Marcondes has been more effective in converting his opportunities into games won. Additionally, Bueno's recent performance against higher-ranked opponents has not been favorable, which may impact his confidence in this match.
G. Bueno — I. Marcondes Prediction
Considering the recent form and performance metrics, I. Marcondes is predicted to win this match against G. Bueno. Marcondes has demonstrated better consistency and effectiveness in his recent matches, which should play a crucial role in this best-of-three format.
Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: I. Marcondes, Set 2: G. Bueno, Set 3: I. Marcondes
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
In terms of tactical expectations, I. Marcondes is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his stronger serve to gain an early advantage in the match. G. Bueno, on the other hand, may need to adopt a more defensive strategy to counter Marcondes' power, especially in crucial moments where break points are at stake.
3 Reasons Why I. Marcondes Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors I. Marcondes 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors I. Marcondes.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, I. Marcondes has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than G. Bueno, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
12.07.2026 10:00Bastad
G. Bueno
I. Marcondes
12
010101
45
21
34
Where to watch G. Bueno vs I. Marcondes
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