30.04.2026 • Updated: 11.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Soccer

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo – Prediction (10.05.2026)

Daniel Carter

Corinthians

WDLWW

May 10, 2026

21:30

Serie A

3 — 2

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Sao Paulo

LDDDW

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 8 Wins

0% 6 Draws

0% 1 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 3.00

Both teams scored 67%

2.07 Total average 0.93

1.82 Yellow cards 2.45

0.25 Red cards 0.00

Last 5 matches

26.07.2023 Copa Do Brasil

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

2 0 2 1 0 1

— —

4 3

0 3

0 0

14.05.2023 Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

1 1 0 1 1 0

0.96 0.86

5 4

2 4

0 0

22.05.2022 Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

1 0 1 1 1 0

— —

8 8

2 3

0 0

01.07.2021 Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

0 0 0 0 0 0

— —

5 3

1 1

0 0

03.05.2021 Paulista - A1

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

2 1 1 2 1 1

— —

0 4

4 2

0 0

Corinthians

Team Overview

In their latest Serie A match, Corinthians hosted Sao Paulo and secured a narrow victory with a score of 3-2. This win marked a positive turn for Corinthians, who had been struggling in recent weeks.

Match statistics (Corinthians vs Sao Paulo):

Possession: 50% vs 50%
Corners: 7 vs 7
Fouls: 12 vs 13
Yellow cards: 4 vs 4
Shots on target: 6 vs 4

Sao Paulo

Team Overview

Sao Paulo faced Corinthians in their most recent Serie A outing, where they fell short in a 2-3 defeat. This loss adds to their struggles as they look to regain their form.

Match statistics (Corinthians vs Sao Paulo):

Possession: 50% vs 50%
Corners: 7 vs 7
Fouls: 12 vs 13
Yellow cards: 4 vs 4
Shots on target: 6 vs 4

Match Result

Corinthians Edge Sao Paulo in Thrilling 3-2 Encounter

In a captivating clash at the Arena Corinthians, the home side triumphed over Sao Paulo with a scoreline of 3-2, showcasing a blend of tactical prowess and individual brilliance. The match, part of the Serie A regular season, saw both teams displaying their attacking intent, but it was Corinthians who ultimately secured the vital three points.

The game began with an early goal from Raniele in the 17th minute, assisted by R. Garro, setting the tone for a competitive first half. Sao Paulo responded well, equalizing through Luciano just before halftime, demonstrating their resilience. Both teams entered the break at 1-1, with Corinthians slightly edging the stats with 15 total shots compared to Sao Paulo's 7.

In the second half, Corinthians took control, scoring twice in quick succession through Matheuzinho and Breno Bidon in the 52nd and 57th minutes, respectively. Despite a late own goal from Matheuzinho that brought Sao Paulo back into contention, Corinthians held firm. The match ended with both teams receiving four yellow cards, reflecting the intensity of the contest.

This victory not only boosts Corinthians' confidence but also highlights their ability to capitalize on key moments, while Sao Paulo will need to address their defensive lapses as they continue their campaign.

Match Timeline

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

Goal

Raniele • Assist: R. Garro

17'

41'

Goal

Luciano • Assist: D. Bobadilla

Yellow Card

Gabriel Paulista

45+1'

Yellow Card

Matheus Bidu • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

45+1'

Yellow Card

Jonathan Calleri

45+1'

Yellow Card

Sabino • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

Goal

Matheuzinho • Assist: A. Carrillo

52'

Goal

Breno Bidon • Assist: R. Garro

57'

69'

Substitution

In: Ferreira for Cauly

69'

Substitution

In: Danielzinho for Luan Silva

73'

Yellow Card

E. Diaz • Yellow Card | Roughing

83'

Substitution

In: E. Diaz for Wendell

Substitution

In: A. Carrillo for Dieguinho

83'

Substitution

In: R. Garro for Z. Labyad

88'

Substitution

In: Yuri Alberto for Pedro Raul

88'

89'

Goal

Matheuzinho • Own Goal

90+2'

Substitution

In: D. Bobadilla for Andre Silva

Yellow Card

Z. Labyad • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

90+4'

Yellow Card

Luan Silva • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

Yellow Card

Pedro Raul • Yellow Card | Delay of game

90+5'

Teams Form Analysis

Corinthians have shown strong form in their last ten matches, winning 5, drawing 2, and losing 3. They scored a total of 8 goals while conceding 5, averaging 1.6 goals per game. In contrast, Sao Paulo's recent form has been less impressive, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last ten matches, also scoring 5 goals and conceding 5, averaging 1 goal per game.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Corinthians have a significant advantage, winning 8 out of the last 15 matches against Sao Paulo, with an average of 3 goals per game in these fixtures. The last match ended with Corinthians winning 3-2, showcasing their attacking prowess. Additionally, Corinthians have a higher expected goals (xG) average in recent matches compared to Sao Paulo, indicating a more effective offensive strategy.

Corinthians — Sao Paulo Prediction

Exact Score: 3 vs 1
1st Half: 1 vs 0
Goals (Total): 3 vs 1
Corners: 6 vs 4
Fouls: 12 vs 15
Yellow Cards: 3 vs 4
Shots on target: 7 vs 3
Offsides: 3 vs 2
Possession: 55% vs 45%

Corinthians are expected to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, utilizing their home advantage effectively. Their tactical approach will likely involve pressing high and exploiting the flanks, while Sao Paulo may focus on counter-attacks.

3 Reasons Why Corinthians Will Win

Projected Score Edge.
Strong Recent Form.
Head-to-Head Advantage.

Match Prediction

10.05.2026 21:30 Serie A

Corinthians 3 1 2

Sao Paulo 1 0 1

Lineups

Corinthians

Hugo Souza G

Matheuzinho D

Gabriel Paulista D

Gustavo Henrique D

Matheus Bidu D

Andre M

Raniele M

Breno Bidon M

R. Garro M

J. Lingard M

Yuri Alberto F

Sao Paulo

Carlos Coronel G

Igor Felisberto —

Matheus Doria D

Luis Osorio D

E. Diaz D

Luan Silva M

Djhordney M

Cauly M

G. Tapia M

Ferreira M

Andre Silva F

Team Statistics

Games

Corinthians

H7 A7 All14

Sao Paulo

H7 A7 All14

Wins

Corinthians

H2 A1 All3

Sao Paulo

H5 A2 All7

Draws

Corinthians

H2 A4 All6

Sao Paulo

H1 A2 All3

Losses

Corinthians

H3 A2 All5

Sao Paulo

H1 A3 All4

Goals For

Corinthians

H5 A5 All10

Sao Paulo

H13 A6 All19

Goals Against

Corinthians

H6 A7 All13

Sao Paulo

H5 A8 All13

Avg Goals For

Corinthians

H0.7 A0.7 All0.7

Sao Paulo

H1.9 A0.9 All1.4

Avg Goals Against

Corinthians

H0.9 A1 All0.9

Sao Paulo

H0.7 A1.1 All0.9

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Corinthians
Sao Paulo

Overall Strength

42% / 58%

Attack

20% / 80%

Defense

70% / 30%

Expected Goals (Model)

44% / 56%

Head-to-head Advantage

29% / 71%

Head-to-head Goals

38% / 63%

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