Fiorentina vs Genoa – Prediction (10.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Fiorentina has struggled in their recent matches, with only 1 point from their last 5 games, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 8. Their last match ended in a goalless draw against Genoa, which reflects their ongoing difficulties in finding the back of the net. In contrast, Genoa has shown a slightly better form, managing to secure 1 win and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4. Their recent performances indicate a more resilient side, especially in defense.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 10 encounters, Fiorentina has averaged 0.6 goals per game, while Genoa has averaged 0.8 goals per game. The head-to-head statistics show that Fiorentina has a slight edge with 6 wins out of 15 matches, but they have drawn 9 times, indicating a competitive rivalry. The last match between these two teams ended in a draw, with Fiorentina having a marginally higher expected goals (xG) of 0.95 compared to Genoa's 0.58, suggesting that Fiorentina had better chances but failed to convert.

Fiorentina — Genoa Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 0
• 1st Half: 0 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 0
• Corners: 5 vs 2
• Fouls: 12 vs 14
• Yellow Cards: 1 vs 2
• Shots on target: 3 vs 2
• Offsides: 1 vs 1
• Possession: 55% vs 45%

Fiorentina is expected to dominate possession and create more chances, particularly through their wing play. Genoa will likely focus on a counter-attacking strategy, aiming to exploit any gaps left by Fiorentina's attacking pushes. The match could see Fiorentina pushing hard for a goal, while Genoa will need to remain compact defensively to secure a result.

3 Reasons Why Fiorentina Will Win

• Projected Score Edge.
• Strong Recent Form.
• Head-to-Head Advantage.

Match Prediction

10.05.2026 13:00 Serie A

Fiorentina 1 0 1

Genoa 0 0 0

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