M. Trungelliti has struggled to find his footing on the ATP tour, reflected in his career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. Currently, he is on a declining trajectory, which is evident from his recent performances. With a less than stellar record, he has faced tough competition and has not found the consistency needed to make an impact in matches.
In his last five outings, Trungelliti has yet to secure a victory, suffering defeats against players like K. Jacquet and M. Damm. His recent form shows a lack of sets won, emphasizing his struggles. As he approaches the match against A. Davidovich Fokina, he must address his performance issues or risk another disappointing result.
Match results: M. Trungelliti
13 Jul 2026ATP Umag
K. Jacquet
M. Trungelliti
02
26
36
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
M. Trungelliti
M. Damm
13
L
22 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
J. Pinnington Jones
M. Trungelliti
21
57
63
75
L
21 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
G. Hussey
M. Trungelliti
20
64
75
L
20 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
F. Gill
M. Trungelliti
01
36
W
11 Jun 2026Lyon
M. Trungelliti
D. E. Galan
02
36
57
L
9 Jun 2026Lyon
M. Trungelliti
P. Kotov
20
64
62
W
5 Jun 2026Heilbronn
M. Trungelliti
D. Dedura
02
26
36
L
4 Jun 2026Heilbronn
M. Trungelliti
Y. H. Hsu
21
36
61
61
W
2 Jun 2026Heilbronn
M. Trungelliti
A. Shelbayh
20
63
64
W
A. Davidovich Fokina
Player Overview
A. Davidovich Fokina, with a career baseline win percentage near 59% on hard surfaces, arrives at ATP Umag in a stable condition. His recent matches have highlighted a strong ability to secure victories, particularly in the grass season, where he won three consecutive matches at Wimbledon before falling to F. Auger-Aliassime. This performance suggests he is comfortable on the court and ready to compete at a high level.
Davidovich Fokina's recent record shows a mix of solid wins and a single loss, indicating he is finding his rhythm. His impressive showing against players like M. Fucsovics and J. M. Cerundolo sets a positive tone for his upcoming match against Trungelliti. If he maintains this level, he is poised to capitalize on his opponent's current struggles.
Match results: A. Davidovich Fokina
5 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Davidovich Fokina
20
63
61
L
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
M. Fucsovics
20
62
63
W
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
F. Marozsan
30
63
60
63
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
J. M. Cerundolo
20
64
64
W
27 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
E. Quinn
A. Davidovich Fokina
01
36
W
26 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
F. Marozsan
A. Davidovich Fokina
12
75
26
46
W
25 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
G. Dimitrov
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
36
36
W
24 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
A. Walton
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
46
57
W
19 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
A. Davidovich Fokina
10
63
L
18 Jun 2026ATP London
C. Moutet
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
46
36
W
Players Analysis
M. Trungelliti has struggled recently, with only 2 wins in his last 10 matches, including a recent loss to K. Jacquet where he won 2 sets to 0. His performance has been inconsistent, particularly in ATP events, where he has faced tough competition. In contrast, A. Davidovich Fokina has shown a much stronger form, winning 8 of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory against F. Auger-Aliassime. His ability to win consistently, especially in high-stakes matches, gives him a significant edge in this matchup.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their previous encounter at the US Open in 2021, M. Trungelliti defeated A. Davidovich Fokina in four sets, showcasing his capability to perform under pressure. However, recent form indicates a stark contrast, with Davidovich Fokina averaging 1.6 games won per match compared to Trungelliti's 1.1. A. Davidovich Fokina's recent matches have also featured a higher number of aces and a lower number of double faults, indicating better serve reliability. This match will be played on clay, a surface where Davidovich Fokina has historically performed better.
M. Trungelliti — A. Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Given the recent form and head-to-head history, A. Davidovich Fokina is favored to win this match. His superior performance in recent tournaments and consistent winning record suggest he will likely take the match in straight sets.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - A. Davidovich Fokina, Set 2 - A. Davidovich Fokina
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
A. Davidovich Fokina is expected to dominate the match with his aggressive baseline play and effective serving. He will likely capitalize on M. Trungelliti's weaknesses, particularly his inconsistent serve and recent struggles in crucial moments. Expect Davidovich Fokina to apply pressure early in the match, aiming to secure an early break in both sets.
3 Reasons Why A. Davidovich Fokina Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Davidovich Fokina 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Davidovich Fokina.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Davidovich Fokina has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Trungelliti, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
15.07.2026 10:00ATP Umag
M. Trungelliti
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
0011
35
21
14
Where to watch M. Trungelliti vs A. Davidovich Fokina
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