Katarzyna Kawa has a career baseline win rate hovering near 56% on hard courts, but her current trajectory suggests a decline, reflected in her recent performances. With a two-year current form rating that trails her career average, Kawa has faced challenges in maintaining competitiveness, especially against higher-ranked opponents.
In her last five matches, Kawa secured only one victory against Lucrezia Stefanini, while suffering four losses, including a recent defeat to the same opponent she faces today, Stefanie Waltert. This match at WTA Iasi presents a crucial opportunity for Kawa to reverse her fortunes, but her current form indicates significant hurdles ahead if she cannot find consistency on her serve and return.
Match results: K. Kawa
6 Jul 2026Bastad
S. Waltert
K. Kawa
20
64
61
L
25 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
K. Kawa
K. Day
02
26
57
L
24 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
K. Kawa
L. Stefanini
21
64
26
62
W
23 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
K. Kawa
S. Bandecchi
20
61
63
W
14 Jun 2026Modena (Italy) - Qualification
K. Kawa
L. Bronzetti
21
61
46
W
13 Jun 2026Modena (Italy) - Qualification
V. Jimenez Kasintseva
K. Kawa
12
62
46
36
W
12 Jun 2026Modena (Italy) - Qualification
D. Salkova
K. Kawa
02
16
16
W
10 Jun 2026Modena (Italy) - Qualification
N. Noha Akugue
K. Kawa
01
16
W
8 Jun 2026Modena (Italy) - Qualification
K. Kawa
L. Pigato
20
64
64
W
4 Jun 2026Makarska
K. Kawa
M. Joint
02
57
16
L
S. Waltert
Player Overview
Stefanie Waltert has shown a strong baseline performance with a notable Elo rating that places her in a competitive tier among her peers. Currently, her two-year trajectory is stable, suggesting that she has adapted well to the rigors of the tour, particularly on clay, where she has found success in recent tournaments.
Waltert's recent form includes three consecutive victories in Bastad, with a convincing win over Kawa just days ago. This match will test whether she can maintain her winning streak against a familiar opponent. Given her recent successes, Waltert enters this fixture with a psychological advantage, looking to solidify her position in the tournament.
Match results: S. Waltert
11 Jul 2026Bastad
S. Waltert
P. Badosa
02
57
57
L
10 Jul 2026Bastad
K. Quevedo
S. Waltert
02
57
26
W
9 Jul 2026Bastad
S. Waltert
L. Romero Gormaz
20
62
61
W
8 Jul 2026Bastad
S. Waltert
A. Laboutkova
20
62
60
W
6 Jul 2026Bastad
S. Waltert
K. Kawa
20
64
61
W
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
C. Osorio
S. Waltert
20
62
61
L
20 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
P. Marcinko
S. Waltert
20
64
64
L
4 Jun 2026Makarska
S. Waltert
A. Lazaro Garcia
02
46
36
L
2 Jun 2026Makarska
S. Waltert
T. Kostovic
20
60
63
W
26 May 2026WTA French Open
S. Waltert
K. Siniakova
01
46
L
Players Analysis
K. Kawa has shown a mixed form recently, with a record of 5 wins and 5 losses in her last 10 matches. Notably, she lost to S. Waltert in their last encounter on July 6, 2026, where she was defeated 2-0. In contrast, S. Waltert has been in better form, winning 7 of her last 10 matches, including a strong performance in the same tournament where she faced K. Kawa.
Historically, S. Waltert has had the upper hand in their head-to-head matchups, winning 3 out of 4 matches against K. Kawa. This includes two recent straight-set victories, indicating a significant psychological advantage heading into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their previous encounters, S. Waltert has consistently outperformed K. Kawa, winning in straight sets in both of their last two matches. K. Kawa's recent performance at Wimbledon, where she lost in the finals, may have affected her confidence. On the other hand, S. Waltert's recent victories, including a semi-final win against K. Quevedo, suggest she is in good form and ready to capitalize on her previous successes against K. Kawa.
Both players have shown resilience, but S. Waltert's ability to win crucial points and her recent form on hard courts give her a slight edge in this matchup.
K. Kawa — S. Waltert Prediction
Considering the recent form and head-to-head results, S. Waltert is favored to win this match. The prediction is for S. Waltert to win in straight sets, reflecting her dominance in their previous encounters and her current form.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - S. Waltert, Set 2 - S. Waltert
Expected aces: 4
Double faults: 2
Break points: 3
In terms of tactical expectations, S. Waltert is likely to utilize her strong serve to gain early advantages in games, aiming to break K. Kawa's serve early in the sets. K. Kawa will need to focus on her return game and capitalize on any opportunities to break back, but given Waltert's recent serving form, this may prove challenging.
3 Reasons Why S. Waltert Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors S. Waltert 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors S. Waltert.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, S. Waltert has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than K. Kawa, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
13.07.2026 09:00WTA Iasi
K. Kawa
S. Waltert
02
0011
34
21
13
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