12.07.2026

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WTA Iasi

Prediction P. Badosa vs A. Kalinina — 13.07.2026

Daniel Carter

WTA - 25

P. Badosa - A. Kalinina

WTA Iasi 1/16-finals

July 13, 2026 • 09:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

WTA - 93

P. Badosa

Player Overview

Paula Badosa has been a formidable competitor on hard courts, with a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56%. Currently, her trajectory suggests she is on the rise, having secured five straight victories without dropping a set. This success underscores her ability to dominate matches, particularly as she approaches the Iasi tournament.

Recently, Badosa triumphed in all her matches at the Bastad event, defeating opponents like Yulia Putintseva and Sofia Waltert. This impressive run indicates her readiness to tackle the challenges ahead. Competing in Iasi, she will aim to maintain her momentum against a challenging opponent, making her a player to watch in this tournament.

Match results: P. Badosa

11 Jul 2026 Bastad

S. Waltert

P. Badosa

0 2

5 7

10 Jul 2026 Bastad

Y. Putintseva

P. Badosa

0 2

1 6

2 6

9 Jul 2026 Bastad

P. Badosa

V. Lepchenko

1 0

7 5

8 Jul 2026 Bastad

E. Arango

P. Badosa

0 2

3 6

2 6

6 Jul 2026 Bastad

M. Bassols

P. Badosa

0 2

3 6

2 6

30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon

E. Navarro

P. Badosa

2 1

4 6

6 3

7 5

20 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg

P. Badosa

S. Kraus

0 0

19 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

L. Noskova

P. Badosa

2 0

6 1

6 3

17 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

P. Badosa

C. Gauff

2 1

1 6

6 3

6 2

16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

S. Lamens

P. Badosa

0 2

3 6

2 6

A. Kalinina

Player Overview

Anhelina Kalinina has faced difficulties lately, reflected in her recent decline after a solid start to the season. With a career baseline win percentage of approximately 50%, her current form indicates she's trending downward, having lost three of her last five matches. This downturn raises questions about her ability to reclaim her footing on the court.

Kalinina's last appearances were marked by defeats at both Wimbledon and Eastbourne, where she failed to win a set in her losses. These results highlight significant challenges she must overcome to regain her competitive edge in Iasi. As she faces Badosa, the pressure will be on her to reverse this trend and deliver a strong performance, given her recent form.

Match results: A. Kalinina

30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon

A. Kalinina

K. Rakhimova

1 2

6 4

4 6

5 7

24 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

M. Kessler

A. Kalinina

2 0

6 4

6 3

22 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

D. Snigur

A. Kalinina

0 1

5 7

15 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

D. Parry

A. Kalinina

2 0

6 4

7 5

15 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

L. Sun

A. Kalinina

0 2

4 6

3 6

26 May 2026 WTA French Open

A. Kalinina

D. Parry

1 2

6 0

2 6

4 6

23 May 2026 WTA Rabat

A. Kalinina

P. Marcinko

0 2

2 6

22 May 2026 WTA Rabat

P. Udvardy

A. Kalinina

0 2

0 6

3 6

21 May 2026 WTA Rabat

A. Kalinina

A. Bondar

2 0

6 4

7 5

20 May 2026 WTA Rabat

Y. Starodubtseva

A. Kalinina

0 1

3 6

Players Analysis

P. Badosa has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory in the finals of a Challenger event. Her performance has been particularly impressive on clay, where she has demonstrated a solid ability to control rallies and capitalize on her opponents' mistakes. In contrast, A. Kalinina has struggled, winning only 4 of her last 10 matches, with recent losses indicating difficulties in maintaining consistency under pressure.

Both players have a similar playing style, but Badosa's recent form and success in crucial matches give her an edge. Kalinina will need to find a way to disrupt Badosa's rhythm to have a chance in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of statistics, P. Badosa has averaged 1.4 sets won per match in her last 10 outings, while A. Kalinina has averaged 1.2 sets. Badosa has also been more effective on break points, converting 40% of her opportunities compared to Kalinina's 30%. Furthermore, Badosa has a higher average of aces per match, which could be crucial in gaining an advantage on serve. The absence of head-to-head matches between these two players means that their current forms will be the deciding factor in this contest.

P. Badosa — A. Kalinina Prediction

Given the current form and statistical analysis, P. Badosa is favored to win this match. She has been more consistent and effective in recent matches, particularly on clay, which is the surface for this tournament. Kalinina will need to elevate her game significantly to challenge Badosa's momentum.

Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - P. Badosa, Set 2 - P. Badosa
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4

Tactically, Badosa is likely to employ aggressive baseline play, looking to dictate points early and pressure Kalinina with her powerful groundstrokes. Kalinina may need to focus on her serve to avoid giving Badosa easy opportunities to break, but if she cannot find her rhythm, it could be a quick match.

3 Reasons Why P. Badosa Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors P. Badosa 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors P. Badosa.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, P. Badosa has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Kalinina, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

13.07.2026 09:00 WTA Iasi

P. Badosa

A. Kalinina

2 0

1 1 0 0