12.07.2026
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Prediction M. Dahlin vs S. Baez — 13.07.2026

M. Dahlin flag
ATP - 1648
M. Dahlin - S. Baez
Bastad
July 13, 2026 10:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
S. Baez flag
ATP - 65
M. Dahlin

Player Overview

M. Dahlin is at a crucial juncture in his career, with a baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. His trajectory has been stable over the last two years, yet he has not secured a win in his last five outings. This consistency is overshadowed by a lack of recent competitive success, which poses challenges against more seasoned opponents.

Match results: M. Dahlin

10 Jun 2026 M25 Varnamo
P. Munkhammar
M. Dahlin
0 0
L
27 Sep 2025 M15 Ann Arbor, MI
M. Dahlin
R. Perot
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
26 Sep 2025 M15 Ann Arbor, MI
M. Dahlin
E. Bynoe
2 0
7 6
6 1
W
25 Sep 2025 M15 Ann Arbor, MI
A. Magadan
M. Dahlin
0 2
3 6
5 7
W
23 Sep 2025 M15 Ann Arbor, MI
M. Dahlin
M. Thomson
2 1
3 6
6 4
W
22 Aug 2025 M15 Bastad 2
N. Slavic
M. Dahlin
1 0
6 4
L
21 Aug 2025 M15 Bastad 2
M. Dahlin
J. Hallquist Lithen
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
19 Aug 2025 M15 Bastad 2
L. Bataljin
M. Dahlin
0 2
0 6
3 6
W
13 Aug 2025 M15 Ystad
J. Mridha
M. Dahlin
1 0
6 3
L
1 Dec 2023 M15 Limassol 2
M. Dahlin
D. De Jonge
0 1
2 6
5 5
L
S. Baez

Player Overview

S. Baez enters this match carrying a career baseline win percentage around 50% on hard courts, with a recent decline in form evident from his last ten matches. His Elo rating reflects a drop, and while he has shown flashes of potential, his recent trend is downward, especially following a tough loss to J-L. Struff at Wimbledon.

Match results: S. Baez

29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
J-L. Struff
S. Baez
3 2
6 1
4 6
2 6
7 5
L
25 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge
S. Baez
A. Shevchenko
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
24 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge
H. Hurkacz
S. Baez
2 0
7 5
6 1
L
23 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge
S. Baez
T. Kokkinakis
0 1
4 6
L
7 Jun 2026 Prostejov
S. Baez
A. Molcan
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
6 Jun 2026 Prostejov
S. Baez
N. Sanchez Izquierdo
1 0
6 2
W
5 Jun 2026 Prostejov
S. Baez
M. Mrva
2 0
6 4
7 5
W
3 Jun 2026 Prostejov
S. Baez
T. Boyer
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
2 Jun 2026 Prostejov
S. Baez
S. Gueymard Wayenburg
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
S. Baez
R. A. Burruchaga
1 3
6 2
5 7
2 6
L

Players Analysis

M. Dahlin has shown a strong performance in his recent matches, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches. His victories include a solid 2-0 win against E. Bynoe and a convincing 2-0 against M. Thomson. Dahlin's recent form indicates a reliable serve and a strong ability to close out matches. On the other hand, S. Baez has had a mixed bag of results, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable 2-0 victory against A. Molcan. However, he has also suffered defeats, including a recent loss to J-L. Struff where he lost 2-3. This inconsistency may affect his confidence going into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, M. Dahlin has a goals for average of 1.4 and goals against average of 0.5 in his last 10 matches, showcasing his ability to both score and defend effectively. S. Baez, while scoring an average of 1.3 goals, has a higher goals against average of 0.8, indicating he may be more vulnerable defensively. The absence of head-to-head matches between the two players means that their previous encounters cannot influence the outcome, but Dahlin's recent form on similar surfaces gives him a slight edge.

M. Dahlin — S. Baez Prediction

Given the current form and statistical analysis, M. Dahlin is predicted to win this match against S. Baez. The expected score is likely to be 2-0 in sets, with Dahlin taking both sets decisively. His recent performances suggest he will maintain pressure on Baez, capitalizing on any weaknesses in his opponent's game.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - M. Dahlin, Set 2 - M. Dahlin
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

In terms of tactics, M. Dahlin is expected to utilize aggressive baseline play, focusing on his serve to gain early advantages in games. He will likely aim to exploit S. Baez's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly by targeting his forehand. Dahlin's ability to maintain pressure will be crucial in securing a straight-sets victory.

3 Reasons Why M. Dahlin Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Dahlin 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Dahlin.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Dahlin has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than S. Baez, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
13.07.2026 10:00 Bastad
M. Dahlin
S. Baez
2 0
1 1 0 0
53
23
31