Daniel Altmaier has struggled to find his footing lately, reflecting a career baseline win percentage near 56% on hard courts. His current two-year trajectory indicates a declining form, evident from recent losses against players like Alex Molcan and Frances Tiafoe. With a modest Elo rating, Altmaier's serve has not consistently troubled opponents, which has contributed to his recent downturn.
Altmaier's last five matches have resulted in just one win, showcasing a stark contrast to his previous performances. His defeat against Z. Bergs at ATP Eastbourne, where he failed to win a set, raises concerns ahead of facing Hugo Gaston. This match will test whether Altmaier can reverse his fortunes or continue down a troubling path.
Match results: D. Altmaier
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Molcan
D. Altmaier
31
64
36
75
62
L
24 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
D. Altmaier
Z. Bergs
02
36
L
23 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
D. Altmaier
A. Kovacevic
10
64
W
20 Jun 2026ATP Halle
D. Altmaier
F. Tiafoe
02
16
36
L
19 Jun 2026ATP Halle
D. Altmaier
D. Medvedev
20
64
64
W
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
H. Hurkacz
D. Altmaier
12
63
36
57
W
15 Jun 2026ATP Halle
N. Basilashvili
D. Altmaier
02
57
46
W
9 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
D. Altmaier
F. Tiafoe
12
64
46
L
26 May 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
D. Altmaier
32
46
64
46
61
L
21 May 2026ATP Hamburg
T. Paul
D. Altmaier
20
62
75
L
H. Gaston
Player Overview
Hugo Gaston enters this match with a career baseline of approximately 50% on hard courts, but he has shown signs of improvement with a rising form trend over the past two years. His recent performances, particularly at Braunschweig, demonstrate his potential, as he secured three straight-set victories before a recent draw against J. Choinski. Gaston has a solid record on clay, which could favor him in Bastad.
Gaston’s recent matches include a win against Franco Diaz Acosta, indicating he's been finding his rhythm. With no recent losses, he appears poised to capitalize on Altmaier's recent struggles. The outcome of this match could solidify Gaston’s upward trajectory or reveal vulnerabilities against a player looking to bounce back.
Match results: H. Gaston
12 Jul 2026Braunschweig
J. Choinski
H. Gaston
00
L
11 Jul 2026Braunschweig
F. Diaz Acosta
H. Gaston
12
75
57
W
10 Jul 2026Braunschweig
H. Gaston
M. Moeller
20
62
64
W
9 Jul 2026Braunschweig
H. Gaston
M. Petkovic
20
64
61
W
7 Jul 2026Braunschweig
H. Gaston
A. Chepelev
20
64
61
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Gaston
S. Tsitsipas
03
16
46
26
L
25 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Gaston
M. Echargui
31
61
57
62
64
W
24 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Gaston
F. Cina
20
75
64
W
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Gaston
L. Midon
21
46
63
64
W
16 Jun 2026Nottingham
F. Gill
H. Gaston
10
62
L
Players Analysis
Daniel Altmaier and Hugo Gaston are set to face off in a highly anticipated match. Daniel Altmaier has shown a mixed form recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including notable victories at ATP Eastbourne and ATP Halle. However, he suffered a loss against Frances Tiafoe in the semi-finals of Halle. In contrast, Hugo Gaston has been in impressive form, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance at ATP Wimbledon where he reached the final. Their previous encounter saw Gaston defeating Altmaier convincingly, which may give him a psychological edge.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their last 10 matches, Altmaier has averaged 1.3 sets won per match, while Gaston has averaged 1.6 sets won. Gaston’s recent performance includes a strong showing with 16 games won and only 10 games lost in his last 10 matches, indicating a solid form. The head-to-head record also favors Gaston, who has won their only previous match in straight sets. Given the surface and Gaston's current form, he appears to have a slight advantage going into this match.
D. Altmaier — H. Gaston Prediction
Considering the recent performances and head-to-head statistics, Hugo Gaston is predicted to win this match. The forecast suggests a competitive match, but Gaston’s current form and previous victory over Altmaier provide him with a favorable outlook.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Hugo Gaston, Set 2 - Hugo Gaston
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 3
In terms of tactical expectations, Gaston is likely to utilize his strong baseline game to pressure Altmaier, aiming to exploit any weaknesses in Altmaier's serve. Gaston’s ability to create break points will be crucial, especially given Altmaier's recent struggles in maintaining serve under pressure.
3 Reasons Why H. Gaston Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors H. Gaston 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors H. Gaston.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, H. Gaston has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than D. Altmaier, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
13.07.2026 10:00Bastad
D. Altmaier
H. Gaston
02
0011
35
21
13
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