Thanasi Kokkinakis has struggled to find his footing this season, failing to secure a win in his last five matches. His career baseline win percentage hovers around 56% on hard courts, but he has yet to translate that success to grass. Currently, he is trending downward, with a recent loss to J. Kym in Dublin marking a low point after earlier victories in qualifying rounds.
His recent performance has been a mixed bag, highlighted by a pair of wins in exhibition matches against Andrey Rublev and Sebastián Baez. However, those victories came in less competitive settings and do not reflect the pressure of a major tournament. As he prepares to face Alexander Bublik, Kokkinakis must find consistency against a player known for unpredictable shot-making, which could prove challenging given his recent form.
Match results: T. Kokkinakis
24 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
A. Rublev
T. Kokkinakis
12
67
64
410
W
23 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
S. Baez
T. Kokkinakis
01
46
W
16 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
J. Kym
T. Kokkinakis
21
06
64
L
15 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
T. Kokkinakis
A. Elamin
20
62
61
W
14 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
H. Mayot
T. Kokkinakis
12
46
63
W
10 Jun 2026Bratislava
V. Sachko
T. Kokkinakis
10
52
L
8 Jun 2026Bratislava
T. Kokkinakis
T. Barrios Vera
20
64
64
W
27 May 2026ATP French Open
T. Kokkinakis
P. Carreno-Busta
12
57
64
L
25 May 2026ATP French Open
T. Kokkinakis
T. Atmane
31
62
46
63
75
W
13 May 2026Zagreb
Y. T. Alexandrescou
T. Kokkinakis
10
L
A. Bublik
Player Overview
Alexander Bublik's career has seen highs and lows, with an Elo rating suggesting he operates in the mid-tier of ATP players. His performance on grass has not been stellar, and he arrives at Wimbledon with a declining trend after two consecutive losses in ATP events. This season has been inconsistent, and he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents like Taylor Fritz and Mikhail Bellucci.
Bublik's recent matches include a win against G. Mpetshi Perricard, but that was preceded by setbacks against formidable competition. As he faces Kokkinakis, Bublik must harness his powerful serve and unpredictable style to regain his footing. If he can manage to assert control early, it could set the tone for a much-needed turnaround in his campaign.
Match results: A. Bublik
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
M. Bellucci
A. Bublik
10
61
L
13 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
A. Bublik
T. Fritz
02
46
46
L
12 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
G. Mpetshi Perricard
A. Bublik
02
W
10 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
J-L. Struff
A. Bublik
12
63
26
W
26 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Bublik
J-L. Struff
03
57
46
57
L
22 May 2026ATP Geneva
L. Tien
A. Bublik
21
61
46
L
21 May 2026ATP Geneva
A. Rinderknech
A. Bublik
12
75
46
26
W
20 May 2026ATP Geneva
E. Butvilas
A. Bublik
02
46
36
W
10 May 2026ATP Rome
L. Tien
A. Bublik
21
46
63
75
L
8 May 2026ATP Rome
S. Baez
A. Bublik
02
16
26
W
Players Analysis
T. Kokkinakis has shown a solid performance recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable victory against A. Elamin in the Dublin qualification finals. His recent form indicates a strong ability to compete, especially in best-of-five formats. On the other hand, A. Bublik has had a mixed bag of results, winning only 5 out of his last 10 matches, with a recent loss to M. Bellucci in the ATP Halle. This inconsistency may affect his confidence going into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of head-to-head statistics, there are no previous matches recorded between T. Kokkinakis and A. Bublik, which adds an element of unpredictability to this encounter. Kokkinakis has a better recent form with a higher win rate in his last 10 matches compared to Bublik. Additionally, Kokkinakis has demonstrated stronger performance on grass courts, which is crucial for Wimbledon. The surface will likely favor Kokkinakis, given his recent success in similar conditions.
T. Kokkinakis — A. Bublik Prediction
This match is expected to be competitive, but T. Kokkinakis holds a slight edge due to his recent form and better performance on grass. The predicted score is 3-1 in sets, with Kokkinakis likely to take the first two sets before Bublik responds in the third, followed by Kokkinakis closing it out in the fourth set.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - T. Kokkinakis, 2nd set - T. Kokkinakis, 3rd set - A. Bublik, 4th set - T. Kokkinakis
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 5
Break points: 7
T. Kokkinakis is expected to utilize his powerful serve effectively, which has been a key factor in his recent victories. His ability to win break points will be crucial, especially against Bublik, who has struggled with consistency. The match could see Kokkinakis dominating the early sets, leveraging his serve and aggressive play to put pressure on Bublik.
3 Reasons Why T. Kokkinakis Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors T. Kokkinakis 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors T. Kokkinakis.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, T. Kokkinakis has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Bublik, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
30.06.2026 13:30ATP Wimbledon
T. Kokkinakis
A. Bublik
31
11010010
128
56
74
Where to watch T. Kokkinakis vs A. Bublik
ATP Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of ATP events.
Tennis Channel - Find out if the match will be aired on Tennis Channel and view their schedule.
BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates on tennis matches, including Wimbledon.
Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website for live updates, match schedules, and broadcast information.
