22.06.2026

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ATP Mallorca

Prediction Lorenzo Sonego vs M. Kecmanovic — 23.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 66

Lorenzo Sonego - M. Kecmanovic

ATP Mallorca 1/8-finals

June 23, 2026 • 13:30

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 70

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 5

H2H W-L 3-0-2

Avg sets per match 1.80

Last 5 W-L 3-2

Last 3 W-L 3-0

Current streak W3

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 1.80

Sets range 1-3

3-set matches 1 (20%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 1/0 • 1/0

60% 3 Wins

0% 0 Draws

40% 2 Wins

Last 5 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

24 Apr 2025

Lorenzo Sonego - M. Kecmanovic

1:0 (6-4)

Madrid

—

17 Jun 2024

M. Kecmanovic - Lorenzo Sonego

0:2

ATP Halle

—

7 Mar 2024

Lorenzo Sonego - M. Kecmanovic

1:0 (6-4)

ATP Indian Wells

—

17 Feb 2022

Lorenzo Sonego - M. Kecmanovic

0:2 (5-7, 4-6)

Rio de Janeiro

—

21 Jan 2022

M. Kecmanovic - Lorenzo Sonego

3:0 (6-4, 6-2, 7-5)

Australian Open

—

Lorenzo Sonego

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, Lorenzo Sonego posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: Lorenzo Sonego wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: Lorenzo Sonego

21 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

Matias Navone

Lorenzo Sonego

1 2

6 2

4 6

17 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

Ben Shelton

Lorenzo Sonego

2 0

7 5

6 3

14 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

Lorenzo Sonego

N. Basilashvili

0 2

4 6

13 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

Lorenzo Sonego

F. C. Jianu

2 0

7 5

6 3

6 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

Lorenzo Sonego

Mert Alkaya

0 0

27 May 2026 ATP French Open

Lorenzo Sonego

Tommy Paul

0 3

3 6

2 6

4 6

24 May 2026 ATP French Open

Lorenzo Sonego

P. Herbert

3 2

5 7

6 2

1 6

6 4

18 May 2026 ATP Geneva

Lorenzo Sonego

Edvinas Butvilas

0 2

3 6

1 6

7 May 2026 ATP Rome

Lorenzo Sonego

I. Buse

0 2

3 6

29 Apr 2026 Cagliari

Lorenzo Sonego

Thomaz Bellucci

1 2

4 6

6 1

5 7

M. Kecmanovic

Player Overview

Miomir Kecmanovic enters this match with a solid career win percentage of 54.6%, bolstered by a steady two-year performance where he has recorded 43 wins against 44 losses. His recent form shows improvement, with an 80% win rate in his last five matches, suggesting he is finding his rhythm.

Kecmanovic recently secured a win over Alessandro Ghibaudo and has shown potential for consistency, despite a disappointing loss to F. Marozsan. With this upward trend, he looks to capitalize on Sonego's struggles to continue his success in Mallorca. A win could further solidify his place in the tournament and enhance his confidence moving forward.

Match results: M. Kecmanovic

22 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

M. Kecmanovic

Alessandro Ghibaudo

2 1

2 6

6 3

22 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

M. Kecmanovic

H. Medjedovic

0 0

16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

F. Marozsan

M. Kecmanovic

2 1

6 3

3 6

6 4

27 May 2026 ATP French Open

Nuno Borges

M. Kecmanovic

3 1

3 6

6 2

6 1

6 2

24 May 2026 ATP French Open

M. Kecmanovic

F. Marozsan

2 0

6 3

6 4

19 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

M. Kecmanovic

K. Khachanov

0 0

17 May 2026 Valencia

M. Kecmanovic

D. Vallejo

2 1

6 2

3 6

6 2

16 May 2026 Valencia

Alejandro Tabilo

M. Kecmanovic

0 1

3 6

15 May 2026 Valencia

Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli

M. Kecmanovic

0 2

1 6

14 May 2026 Valencia

L. Riedi

M. Kecmanovic

0 2

3 6

2 6

Players Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego has struggled in recent matches, winning only 3 out of his last 10 games, with a win percentage of 30%. His recent form shows a decline, particularly on clay, where he has lost several matches to lower-ranked opponents. In contrast, Miomir Kecmanovic has been in better form, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, translating to a win percentage of 70%. Kecmanovic's recent performances indicate an upward trend, especially after a successful run in the Challenger circuit.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Sonego has a slight edge with 6 wins out of 9 matches against Kecmanovic. However, Kecmanovic won their last meeting at the ATP Halle in June 2024, indicating that he can compete effectively against Sonego. On serve, Sonego has a higher ace percentage (7.0%) compared to Kecmanovic (6.1%), but both players have similar double fault percentages. Kecmanovic's recent form and overall higher win percentage suggest he may have the advantage in this matchup.

Lorenzo Sonego — Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

Based on current form and head-to-head statistics, Miomir Kecmanovic is favored to win this match. His recent performances show a significant improvement, while Sonego's struggles on the court could hinder his chances. The predicted score is likely to reflect Kecmanovic's current momentum and Sonego's recent difficulties.

Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Miomir Kecmanovic, Set 2 - Miomir Kecmanovic
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4

In terms of tactics, Kecmanovic is expected to utilize his strong baseline game to pressure Sonego, who may struggle with consistency. Kecmanovic's ability to win points on his serve will be crucial, especially if he can maintain a high first serve percentage. Sonego will need to find a way to disrupt Kecmanovic's rhythm to have a chance in this match.

3 Reasons Why M. Kecmanovic Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Kecmanovic 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Kecmanovic.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Kecmanovic has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Lorenzo Sonego, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

23.06.2026 13:30 ATP Mallorca

Lorenzo Sonego

M. Kecmanovic

0 2

0 0 1 1