22.06.2026

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WTA Bad Homburg

Prediction E. Lys vs E. Navarro — 23.06.2026

Daniel Carter

WTA - 80

E. Lys - E. Navarro

WTA Bad Homburg 1/16-finals

June 23, 2026 • 11:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

WTA - 15

E. Lys

Player Overview

Elena Lys, with a career win percentage of 58.3%, has recently faced challenges, reflected in her declining form trend, which shows a 40% win rate in her last five matches. Her Elo rating of 2166 indicates she remains a formidable competitor, yet her current two-year trajectory at 53.5% signals a downturn in performance, particularly on grass where she has struggled to find her footing.

In her last five outings, Lys has not secured a single victory, most recently losing to Elina Svitolina and Sorana Cirstea. This downward trend is a concern heading into her match against Elena Navarro, suggesting that without a significant turnaround, she may continue to falter in the upcoming fixture, especially given her current lack of match-winning momentum.

Match results: E. Lys

18 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

Elina Svitolina

E. Lys

2 0

6 3

6 2

16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

M. Frech

E. Lys

0 1

3 6

27 May 2026 WTA French Open

E. Lys

Sorana Cirstea

0 2

3 6

0 6

25 May 2026 WTA French Open

Petra Marcinko

E. Lys

0 2

3 6

0 6

16 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg

Tiffany Gibson

E. Lys

2 1

6 2

3 6

6 0

8 May 2026 WTA Rome

Naomi Osaka

E. Lys

2 1

6 4

4 6

6 3

6 May 2026 WTA Rome

Katie Boulter

E. Lys

1 2

4 6

6 3

4 6

22 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid

S. Zhang

E. Lys

2 0

6 4

6 3

15 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart

E. Lys

Elina Svitolina

0 2

1 6

0 6

14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart

E. Lys

P. Badosa

2 1

2 6

7 5

6 4

E. Navarro

Player Overview

Elena Navarro boasts a career win percentage of 61.7% and an Elo rating of 2213, indicating a solid competitive edge. Currently, she is trending upwards with a two-year win rate of 54.4%, bolstered by an impressive 80% win rate in her last five matches. Her ability to win crucial points, as reflected in her recent performances, positions her as a strong contender on grass.

Navarro's recent victories against Viktorija Golubic and Jorge Bouzas Maneiro highlight her current form, yet she also suffered a setback against Marie Bouzkova. Nevertheless, she arrives at this match with clear momentum, making her a formidable opponent for Lys. If Navarro maintains her recent level, she could capitalize on Lys's struggles and secure a decisive win.

Match results: E. Navarro

21 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham

Marie Bouzkova

E. Navarro

2 1

4 6

6 2

20 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham

E. Navarro

Viktorija Golubic

1 0

6 2

19 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham

Jorge Bouzas Maneiro

E. Navarro

0 1

2 6

17 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham

Yulia Starodubtseva

E. Navarro

0 2

4 6

15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham

S. Bejlek

E. Navarro

0 0

15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham

Artur Bondar

E. Navarro

0 2

3 6

2 6

10 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch

E. Navarro

Caty McNally

1 2

6 4

0 6

4 6

28 May 2026 WTA French Open

Ivan Jovic

E. Navarro

2 0

6 0

6 3

26 May 2026 WTA French Open

E. Navarro

Jasmine Tjen

2 0

6 4

6 3

23 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg

Victoria Mboko

E. Navarro

1 2

0 6

7 5

2 6

Players Analysis

Eva Lys has struggled recently, winning only 3 of her last 10 matches, with a win percentage of 30% in that span. Her performance on clay has been particularly challenging, as evidenced by her recent losses at the French Open and other clay tournaments. In contrast, Emma Navarro is in much better form, winning 7 of her last 10 matches, including a strong showing at the WTA Nottingham, where she reached the final. Navarro's recent form indicates a significant improvement, particularly on clay, where she has been successful in her last few matches.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Eva Lys has recorded 52 aces and 254 double faults in her last 2 years, with an ace percentage of 1.1%. Emma Navarro, on the other hand, has a higher ace count of 113 and a lower double fault count of 264, with an ace percentage of 2.1%. This suggests that Navarro has a more reliable serve. Additionally, Navarro's recent matches show a trend of winning crucial break points, with a break point saved percentage of 55.6%, compared to Lys's 51.9%. Given these metrics, Navarro appears to have the upper hand heading into this match.

E. Lys — E. Navarro Prediction

Considering the recent form and statistical advantages, Emma Navarro is favored to win this match against Eva Lys. Navarro's improved performance and higher win percentage on clay give her a significant edge. The predicted score is likely to reflect Navarro's dominance in the match.

Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: E. Navarro, Set 2: E. Navarro
Expected aces: 4
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5

Navarro's tactical approach will likely focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing her strong serve to gain early advantages in games. She may also look to exploit Lys's weaknesses by targeting her second serve and maintaining pressure during crucial points. This strategy could lead to a quick match if Navarro can capitalize on her opportunities.

3 Reasons Why E. Navarro Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors E. Navarro 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors E. Navarro.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, E. Navarro has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than E. Lys, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

23.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg

E. Lys

E. Navarro

0 2

0 0 1 1