Prediction Matteo Arnaldi vs Greg Hussey — 23.06.2026

Players Analysis

Matteo Arnaldi has shown impressive form recently, winning 8 of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance at the ATP Eastbourne where he reached the final. His recent victories include wins against notable players such as Flavio Cobolli and Alex Gray. Arnaldi's serve has been reliable, with a first serve win percentage of 68.9% and a solid ace count of 364 in the last two years.

Greg Hussey, on the other hand, has also been in good form, winning 8 of his last 10 matches, including a recent final victory at the ATP Eastbourne. However, his recent matches have been against lower-ranked opponents, which may not provide the same level of challenge as Arnaldi's recent encounters. Hussey's serve statistics show a slightly lower first serve win percentage of 66.6% and an ace count of 337 in the last two years.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Both players have demonstrated strong performance metrics, but Arnaldi's recent form and higher win percentage against tougher opponents give him a slight edge. Arnaldi's ability to win crucial points is reflected in his break point saved percentage of 61.6%, compared to Hussey's 61.0%. Additionally, Arnaldi's overall career win percentage stands at 56.8%, while Hussey's is slightly higher at 60.8%. However, considering the quality of opponents faced, Arnaldi's recent matches have been more competitive.

On the surface, both players have shown adaptability, but Arnaldi's recent success on clay and his ability to perform under pressure in longer matches could play a significant role in this matchup. The absence of head-to-head matches between them means that their current forms and statistics will be the primary indicators of performance.

Matteo Arnaldi — Greg Hussey Prediction

Given the current forms and performance metrics, Matteo Arnaldi is predicted to edge out Greg Hussey in this matchup. The forecast suggests a competitive match, likely going to three sets, with Arnaldi's experience in high-stakes matches giving him the upper hand.

• Final score in sets: 2:1
• Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - Matteo Arnaldi, 2nd set - Greg Hussey, 3rd set - Matteo Arnaldi
• Expected aces: 10
• Double faults: 5
• Break points: 6

In terms of tactical expectations, Arnaldi is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his powerful forehand to dictate points. Hussey may counter with a more defensive strategy, aiming to extend rallies and capitalize on any errors from Arnaldi. The match could hinge on Arnaldi's ability to maintain his serve under pressure and Hussey's capacity to break early in the sets.

3 Reasons Why Matteo Arnaldi Will Win

• Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
• Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Matteo Arnaldi.
• Pressure Points. In recent matches, Matteo Arnaldi has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Greg Hussey, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

23.06.2026 12:00 ATP Eastbourne

Matteo Arnaldi

Greg Hussey

2 1

1 0 1 0 1 0

108

56

64