Aoran Wang has a solid career baseline with a win percentage hovering around 57% across her matches. However, she has struggled recently, with a declining trend reflected in her last five matches, where she won only 40%. On hard courts, her Elo rating stands at 1964, indicating a competitive level, but her performance on grass has been less impressive, with a win percentage of just 40% in her recent attempts.
Wang's recent outings tell a story of inconsistency; she has not won a match since a victory against Renata Zarazua and has entered this tournament with a streak of defeats and draws. This mixed form raises concerns about her readiness for the upcoming match against Leylah Fernandez, who has shown stronger results lately. Wang will need to find her footing quickly to avoid another early exit.
Match results: Aoran Wang
22 Jun 2026WTA Bad Homburg
R. Zarazua
Aoran Wang
02
16
26
W
22 Jun 2026WTA Bad Homburg
Ivan Jovic
Aoran Wang
00
L
16 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
Madison Keys
Aoran Wang
10
61
L
13 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
Aoran Wang
Dalma Galfi
00
L
27 May 2026WTA French Open
Tamara Korpatsch
Aoran Wang
21
62
26
63
L
24 May 2026WTA French Open
Lara Tagger
Aoran Wang
12
36
63
46
W
17 May 2026WTA Strasbourg
Aoran Wang
Lois Boisson
01
36
L
8 May 2026WTA Rome
Aoran Wang
Alex Eala
02
46
36
L
30 Apr 2026La Bisbal D'Emporda
Aoran Wang
Anastasia Charaeva
12
57
63
L
28 Apr 2026La Bisbal D'Emporda
Aoran Wang
Karina Quevedo
20
63
60
W
L Fernandez
Player Overview
Leylah Fernandez boasts a career win percentage of 58.5%, supported by a respectable Elo rating of 2194. Over the last two years, she has maintained a win rate of 53%, indicating a steady period despite some ups and downs. Her performance on hard courts has been particularly strong, highlighted by her ability to secure victories consistently in various tournaments.
Aoran Wang has shown a mixed performance in her recent matches, winning 5 out of her last 10 games. Her last match was a victory against R. Zarazua, where she won 2-0. However, she has struggled against higher-ranked opponents, losing to players like Madison Keys and Tamara Korpatsch. Wang's serve stats indicate a solid performance with an ace percentage of 4.7% and a double fault percentage of 4.6% in her recent matches.
On the other hand, Leylah Fernandez has a slightly better recent form, winning 5 out of her last 10 matches as well. She recently defeated Katie Boulter 2-0, showcasing her ability to perform well under pressure. Fernandez has a career win percentage of 58.5%, which is higher than Wang's 57.0%. Her serve stats show an ace percentage of 3.3% and a double fault percentage of 6.1%, indicating some room for improvement in her service game.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Both players have similar recent win rates, but Fernandez has faced tougher competition recently, which may give her an edge in this matchup. Wang's recent matches have shown a declining trend with a win percentage of 40% in her last 5 matches, while Fernandez's form has been stable with a win percentage of 40% in her last 5 matches as well. The lack of head-to-head matches between the two players means that this encounter will be their first, adding an element of unpredictability. The match will be played on grass, which may favor Fernandez, who has a better overall Elo rating on this surface.
Aoran Wang — Leylah Fernandez Prediction
This match is expected to be competitive, but Leylah Fernandez is slightly favored to win based on her recent form and overall career statistics. The predicted score is likely to be 2-1 in favor of Fernandez, with Wang taking one set due to her ability to perform well in crucial moments.
Final score in sets: 2-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Leylah Fernandez, Set 2: Aoran Wang, Set 3: Leylah Fernandez
Expected aces: Aoran Wang: 4, Leylah Fernandez: 3
Double faults: Aoran Wang: 2, Leylah Fernandez: 3
Break points: Aoran Wang: 5, Leylah Fernandez: 4
In terms of tactics, Wang will need to capitalize on her serve to create break point opportunities, while Fernandez should focus on returning Wang's serve effectively to put pressure on her. The match could hinge on who can maintain composure during critical points, especially in the deciding set.
3 Reasons Why Leylah Fernandez Will Win
Better Recent Form: Leylah Fernandez has a more stable recent performance, winning 5 out of her last 10 matches compared to Aoran Wang's 5 wins as well, but with tougher competition faced.
Higher Career Win Percentage: With a career win percentage of 58.5%, Fernandez has demonstrated a stronger ability to win matches over her career compared to Wang's 57.0%.
Surface Advantage: The match will be played on grass, where Fernandez has a better overall Elo rating, suggesting she is more comfortable on this surface.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
23.06.2026 11:00WTA Bad Homburg
Aoran Wang
L Fernandez
12
010101
43
23
54
Where to watch Aoran Wang vs L Fernandez
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