Kenta Uchida has faced significant challenges lately, reflecting a career win rate of just over 51% and a current two-year performance hovering around 55%. His recent form has sharply declined, with only 20% success in his last ten matches, yielding no wins. This downward trend on hard surfaces, where he has historically performed better, raises concerns about his ability to compete effectively.
Uchida's recent outings include five consecutive losses, culminating in a disappointing performance against Borna Tomic just days ago, which ended in a draw. With little recent success to draw upon, his prospects against Tomic in this Wimbledon matchup appear grim unless he can dramatically shift his play. A victory is crucial for Uchida to regain some semblance of confidence and momentum.
Match results: Kenta Uchida
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
Kenta Uchida
Borna Tomic
02
36
26
L
14 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
Q. Vandecasteele
Kenta Uchida
20
63
64
L
19 May 2026ATP French Open
P. Herbert
Kenta Uchida
20
64
64
L
11 May 2026Tunis
Kenta Uchida
Milan Houkes
02
06
16
L
5 May 2026Wuxi
Soon Woo Kwon
Kenta Uchida
20
62
62
L
21 Apr 2026Gwangju
James McCabe
Kenta Uchida
20
64
75
L
14 Apr 2026Busan
A. Galarneau
Kenta Uchida
20
64
75
L
8 Apr 2026Wuning (China)
Julien Boulais
Kenta Uchida
20
63
64
L
6 Apr 2026Wuning (China)
Alessandro Binda
Kenta Uchida
01
26
W
30 Mar 2026Miyazaki (Japan)
Liam Broady
Kenta Uchida
10
61
L
Borna Tomic
Player Overview
Borna Tomic enters this match with a career win percentage of 55% and an overall Elo rating of 1820, suggesting he possesses a solid baseline skill set. In the last two years, Tomic has maintained a win percentage of 54%, indicating a stable trajectory despite recent setbacks. His serve has been a consistent weapon, with a first serve success rate that hovers around 63.8%, adding to his competitive edge.
After a series of mixed results, including a win at ATP Hertogenbosch followed by two losses, Tomic's draw with Uchida on the eve of Wimbledon raises questions about his consistency. However, his historical ability to perform well at major events positions him as a favorite. If he can leverage his serve effectively, Tomic should capitalize on Uchida's struggling form to advance in the tournament.
Match results: Borna Tomic
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
Kenta Uchida
Borna Tomic
02
36
26
W
16 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
Borna Tomic
Conor Gannon
01
46
L
7 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
Benjamin Bonzi
Borna Tomic
20
62
75
L
6 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Deckers
Borna Tomic
02
26
36
W
3 Jun 2026Tyler
Borna Tomic
Hayato Matsuoka
02
L
30 May 2026Little Rock
M. Mmoh
Borna Tomic
20
63
63
L
27 May 2026Little Rock
Yuki Shimizu
Borna Tomic
12
64
57
W
25 May 2026Little Rock
Bobby Bicknell
Borna Tomic
12
63
46
46
W
20 May 2026ATP French Open
Francesco Cina
Borna Tomic
20
62
64
L
18 May 2026ATP French Open
Borna Tomic
Mouad Echargui
21
36
75
63
W
Players Analysis
Kenta Uchida has struggled recently, losing his last ten matches, including a straight-sets defeat to Borna Tomic in their most recent encounter at the ATP Wimbledon quarter-finals. Uchida's performance has been declining, with a win percentage of only 20% in his last ten matches. On the other hand, Borna Tomic has shown improvement, winning four of his last ten matches, including a recent victory over Michael Mmoh. Tomic's recent form indicates a resurgence, making him a formidable opponent.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head matchup, Tomic has a perfect record against Uchida, winning their only encounter in straight sets (6-3, 6-2). Tomic's overall win percentage stands at 55%, while Uchida's is at 51.2%. Tomic has a higher ace percentage (9.1%) compared to Uchida (6.9%), and he has also been more effective in saving break points. These statistics suggest that Tomic's serve and overall game are currently in better shape than Uchida's.
Kenta Uchida — Borna Tomic Prediction
Given the recent form and head-to-head results, Borna Tomic is favored to win this match against Kenta Uchida. Tomic's ability to serve effectively and his recent victories provide him with a significant edge. The prediction is for Tomic to win in straight sets, reflecting his current superiority over Uchida.
Final score in sets: 0:2
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Borna Tomic, Set 2: Borna Tomic
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5
In terms of tactics, Tomic is likely to focus on his powerful serve to gain quick points and apply pressure on Uchida's return game. Given Uchida's recent struggles, Tomic may exploit his opponent's weaknesses by targeting his second serve and maintaining aggressive play throughout the match.
3 Reasons Why Borna Tomic Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Borna Tomic 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Borna Tomic.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Borna Tomic has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Kenta Uchida, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
22.06.2026 16:30ATP Wimbledon
Kenta Uchida
Borna Tomic
02
0011
510
32
25
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