⚽ West Ham vs Nottingham Forest — Analytics and Prediction (06.01.2026)

Introduction

West Ham United will host Nottingham Forest in a crucial Premier League match at the London Stadium. Both teams are seeking to secure vital points as they navigate through the season. West Ham, traditionally a strong team at home, will be looking to bounce back from recent performances, while Nottingham Forest, having shown resilience, aim to capitalize on their momentum from away fixtures.

The stakes are high for both sides, especially for West Ham, who will want to improve their home form. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, will aim to build on their recent successes and take advantage of any defensive weaknesses exhibited by the Hammers.

Form Analysis

West Ham’s recent form has been concerning, with a win rate of only 7% in their last five home matches. This lack of form has placed them in a precarious position in the league, as they struggle to find consistency and build confidence. The pressure to perform at home could either galvanize the squad or lead to further underperformance if early setbacks occur.

Contrastingly, Nottingham Forest has demonstrated a stronger showing away from home, with a 20% win rate in their last five matches. This form indicates a more competitive edge, as they have managed to secure points in challenging environments. Their confidence will be boosted by this composition, aiming to exploit West Ham’s vulnerabilities.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, West Ham has recorded three victories in their last five encounters against Nottingham Forest, while Forest has claimed two wins. The average scoreline in these matches has been quite high, with 3.2 goals per game, indicating that both teams can score but also have defensive frailties.

Additionally, 4 out of 5 recent head-to-head matches have seen more than 2.5 goals, suggesting that this fixture tends to be high-scoring. Both teams will need to shore up their defenses while maintaining their attacking threats to secure a favorable result.

Head-to-Head History

The historical context of this matchup shows West Ham having the upper hand in terms of victories, with three wins compared to Nottingham Forest’s two in the last five encounters. However, Nottingham’s recent 3-0 victory over West Ham serves as a reminder that they are a capable side when they find their rhythm. This intriguing dynamic adds an extra layer of anticipation to the upcoming match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match could play a significant role, with temperatures expected to be around 0°C and humidity at 84%. Such conditions may affect player performance, particularly for teams not accustomed to playing in colder, damp environments.

The London Stadium serves as a significant home advantage for West Ham, and the atmosphere created by their supporters could inspire the team to rise to the occasion. However, Nottingham Forest’s recent away form suggests they will not be intimidated by the surroundings and could thrive in challenging conditions.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the analysis of both teams’ forms, statistical insights, and external influencing factors, it is reasonable to predict that Nottingham Forest will either win or at least draw the match. Their recent form suggests they are more likely to capitalize on any weaknesses shown by West Ham. Therefore, the predicted score for the match is 1:2 in favor of Nottingham Forest.