Jakub Choinski, standing at 196 cm, boasts a career win percentage of 58.1% across 719 matches, and his current two-year form is slightly lower at 56.7%. His Elo rating of 1919 reflects a solid level of play, particularly on hard courts where he’s been effective recently. Choinski is on an upward trajectory with an 80% win rate over his last ten matches, signaling that he is gaining confidence and refining his game.
In his last two outings at the ATP Eastbourne, Choinski secured straight-set victories over Y. Wu and M. Giron, showcasing his ability to dominate on grass. However, he faced a setback against Gustav Heide in Poznan, indicating occasional vulnerability. As he prepares to face A. Popyrin, his recent success suggests he could maintain momentum, but consistency will be crucial against a formidable opponent.
Match results: Jakub Choinski
21 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
M. Giron
Jakub Choinski
01
57
W
20 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
Jakub Choinski
Y. Wu
20
76
64
W
18 Jun 2026Poznan
Gustav Heide
Jakub Choinski
21
76
36
64
L
17 Jun 2026Poznan
M. Kasnikowski
Jakub Choinski
12
46
62
36
W
16 Jun 2026Poznan
Paulo Boscardin Dias
Jakub Choinski
02
57
06
W
10 Jun 2026Bratislava
Francesco Cina
Jakub Choinski
20
61
75
L
8 Jun 2026Bratislava
Norbert Gombos
Jakub Choinski
02
36
46
W
4 Jun 2026Heilbronn
Jakub Choinski
Lukasz Mikrut
02
36
36
L
2 Jun 2026Heilbronn
Jakub Choinski
T. Gentzsch
20
64
64
W
20 May 2026ATP French Open
Jakub Choinski
P. Herbert
01
L
A. Popyrin
Player Overview
A. Popyrin, also 196 cm tall, has a career win percentage of 52.6% over 523 matches and has struggled lately, with a current win rate of just 39.7% in the past two years. His Elo rating of 2031 suggests he has potential, but recent performances have shown inconsistency. His serve has been a mixed bag, highlighted by a 10.4% ace rate, which could be a concern against a rising player like Choinski.
Popyrin enters Eastbourne after a string of disappointing results, including three straight-set losses at ATP Halle and the French Open. His only recent win came against C. Tabur in Geneva, raising questions about his readiness. Facing Choinski, he must find a way to elevate his game quickly, as his current form could lead to another early exit if he fails to turn things around.
Match results: A. Popyrin
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
A. Popyrin
R. Collignon
02
46
26
L
26 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Popyrin
Z. Svajda
12
63
36
57
L
21 May 2026ATP Geneva
A. Popyrin
Casper Ruud
02
46
36
L
20 May 2026ATP Geneva
Taylor Fritz
A. Popyrin
02
46
46
W
19 May 2026ATP Geneva
A. Popyrin
C. Tabur
10
64
W
11 May 2026ATP Rome
Jannik Sinner
A. Popyrin
20
62
60
L
9 May 2026ATP Rome
A. Popyrin
Jakub Mensik
21
63
26
64
W
7 May 2026ATP Rome
A. Popyrin
Matteo Berrettini
20
62
63
W
23 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
A. Popyrin
M. Damm
01
46
L
7 Apr 2026ATP Monte Carlo
A. Popyrin
Casper Ruud
02
36
46
L
Players Analysis
Jakub Choinski has shown impressive form recently, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a victory in the final of the ATP Eastbourne against M. Giron. His recent performances indicate a strong upward trend, particularly on clay surfaces, where he has been able to secure crucial wins. In contrast, Alexei Popyrin has struggled, winning only 5 out of his last 10 matches, with notable losses against higher-ranked opponents like Casper Ruud and Jannik Sinner. Popyrin's inconsistency, especially on clay, could hinder his chances in this matchup.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of serve statistics, Jakub Choinski has a higher ace percentage (5.9%) compared to Alexei Popyrin (11.6%), but Popyrin has a significantly higher number of total aces in his career. Choinski's double fault percentage is lower (2.0%) than Popyrin's (3.4%), indicating better serve reliability. Additionally, Choinski has a better break point saved percentage (64.1%) compared to Popyrin's (63.4%). These metrics suggest that Choinski may have the edge in crucial moments during the match.
Jakub Choinski — Alexei Popyrin Prediction
Given the recent form and head-to-head history, Jakub Choinski is favored to win this match against Alexei Popyrin. Choinski's recent victories and superior performance metrics on clay suggest he can capitalize on Popyrin's weaknesses. The last meeting between these two players was a straight-sets victory for Choinski, which adds to his confidence going into this match.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Jakub Choinski, Set 2: Jakub Choinski
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
In terms of tactical expectations, Choinski is likely to utilize his strong baseline game to push Popyrin into uncomfortable positions, exploiting his opponent's tendency to struggle with consistency under pressure. Expect Choinski to play aggressively on his serve and look for opportunities to break Popyrin's serve early in the match.
3 Reasons Why Jakub Choinski Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Jakub Choinski 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Jakub Choinski.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Jakub Choinski has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Popyrin, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
22.06.2026 15:30Eastbourne
Jakub Choinski
A. Popyrin
20
1100
53
23
42
Where to watch Jakub Choinski vs A. Popyrin
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
Tennis TV - Official streaming service for ATP matches, including live and on-demand coverage.
ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast information and live coverage of tennis events.
BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides updates, live coverage, and match information for tennis events.
Sky Sports Tennis - Sky Sports offers live coverage and updates on tennis matches, including ATP events.
