⚽ Osasuna vs Athletic Club — Analytics and Prediction (03.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Osasuna and Athletic Club are set to face off in an exciting La Liga match at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna has been known for their strong performances at home, while Athletic Club is traditionally a tough opponent with a rich footballing history. The match holds significant importance for both teams as they look to secure valuable points in the league standings, making it a crucial encounter in this season’s campaign.

Form Analysis

Osasuna’s recent home form has been somewhat inconsistent, with a win rate of only 47% in their last five matches. This suggests that while they have the potential to perform well, they may struggle against teams that are more dominant. Their recent performances indicate a need for improvement in converting chances into goals, which could prove vital against a strong opponent like Athletic Club.

On the other hand, Athletic Club has experienced a challenging time away from home, with a form rate of just 40% in their last five away games. This statistic highlights their difficulties in securing positive results outside their home ground. Despite this, Athletic Club has a strong squad capable of turning their fortunes around, and they will be eager to bounce back with a solid performance against Osasuna.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, Osasuna has shown resilience in their attacking play, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match at home. However, their defensive record has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Athletic Club, contrastingly, has a slightly better defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per away match, but they have struggled to find the back of the net themselves, averaging only 1 goal per match in away fixtures.

When comparing their head-to-head statistics from their last five encounters, Osasuna has secured one victory, while Athletic Club has won twice, with two matches ending in draws. This trend indicates a competitive rivalry, but Osasuna’s home advantage could play a crucial role this time around.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Osasuna and Athletic Club reveals a closely contested rivalry. In their last five meetings, Osasuna has managed to win once, while Athletic Club has come out on top twice, with the remaining two matches ending in draws. The most recent encounter saw a thrilling 2-2 draw, showcasing both teams’ attacking capabilities and hinting at another potentially high-scoring affair.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Estadio El Sadar, where Osasuna typically enjoys strong support from their home crowd. This atmosphere can be a considerable advantage, particularly against a team like Athletic Club, who has shown vulnerability in away matches. Weather conditions may also play a role; if conditions are favorable, it could lead to an open game with plenty of chances for both sides.

Additionally, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their respective strengths. Osasuna’s home advantage and their need to improve their form could motivate them to push for a win, while Athletic Club will be keen to reverse their recent away woes and secure a crucial point or three.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the analysis of both teams’ form, statistical data, and the head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Osasuna. Their home advantage, coupled with Athletic Club’s struggles away from home, could result in an outcome where Osasuna either wins or draws. Therefore, the forecast for the match is a victory for Osasuna or a draw, with a predicted score of 2:1.