Liudmila Samsonova, standing at 180 cm, has carved out a career win percentage of 58.5% over 518 matches, underscoring her capability on the court. However, her recent form reveals a different narrative, with a 50.7% win rate over the last two years, and a stable trend reflected in a mere 30% success rate over her last ten matches. This downward trajectory highlights her challenge in finding consistency, particularly on grass where she has yet to establish herself.
The Russian player heads into this clash following five consecutive losses, including setbacks against Jil Teichmann and Daria Kasatkina. With no sets won in her last matches, the lack of competitive rhythm raises concerns about her readiness for upcoming challenges. The disappointing results signal that Samsonova will need a drastic turnaround to pose a significant threat in her next match against Katerina Siniakova.
Match results: Liudmila Samsonova
21 Jun 2026WTA Bad Homburg
Liudmila Samsonova
K. Siniakova
20
63
75
W
15 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
E. Mertens
Liudmila Samsonova
21
16
63
60
L
8 Jun 2026WTA London
Harriet Dart
Liudmila Samsonova
21
57
64
63
L
25 May 2026WTA French Open
Liudmila Samsonova
Jil Teichmann
02
46
46
L
18 May 2026WTA Strasbourg
Daria Kasatkina
Liudmila Samsonova
20
75
63
L
10 May 2026WTA Rome
Liudmila Samsonova
Anastasia Potapova
02
36
26
L
8 May 2026WTA Rome
Liudmila Samsonova
Ang Li
20
64
63
W
26 Apr 2026WTA Madrid
Linda Noskova
Liudmila Samsonova
10
L
24 Apr 2026WTA Madrid
Jasmine Tjen
Liudmila Samsonova
02
26
16
W
16 Apr 2026WTA Stuttgart
Liudmila Samsonova
Coco Gauff
02
57
16
L
K. Siniakova
Player Overview
Katerina Siniakova, with a career win percentage of 58.0% over 709 matches, brings a wealth of experience to the court. Her current form reflects a solid 58.0% win rate over the last two years, but the recent decline in her performance, highlighted by a 40% win rate in her last five matches, raises concerns about her competitiveness. Siniakova's serve-and-return game remains effective, particularly on hard courts where she has excelled historically.
Siniakova's recent form includes a mixed bag of results, with three straight wins followed by a loss to Jessica Pegula. This inconsistency could pose risks as she prepares to face Samsonova, who is struggling significantly. If Siniakova can capitalize on her opponent's current difficulties, she has a strong chance to regain momentum and secure a victory in Bad Homburg.
Match results: K. Siniakova
21 Jun 2026WTA Bad Homburg
Liudmila Samsonova
K. Siniakova
20
63
75
L
17 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
Jessica Pegula
K. Siniakova
20
62
64
L
16 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
K. Siniakova
R. Masarova
20
62
64
W
15 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
K. Siniakova
Liu Zhu
20
64
62
W
15 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
K. Siniakova
Yi Yuan
20
64
62
W
28 May 2026WTA French Open
Victoria Mboko
K. Siniakova
21
57
64
62
L
26 May 2026WTA French Open
Simona Waltert
K. Siniakova
01
46
W
18 May 2026WTA Strasbourg
Marie Bouzkova
K. Siniakova
10
63
L
7 May 2026WTA Rome
K. Siniakova
A. Kalinskaya
12
64
57
L
6 May 2026WTA Rome
K. Siniakova
Lois Boisson
20
62
63
W
Players Analysis
Liudmila Samsonova has shown a mixed performance recently, with a win rate of 30% in her last ten matches. Her recent form on clay has been particularly challenging, with losses against players like Jil Teichmann and Daria Kasatkina. However, she did secure a victory against Lee Ann in Rome, indicating some potential for recovery. Katerina Siniakova, on the other hand, has been in better form, winning 50% of her last ten matches, including a strong performance at the WTA Berlin where she won all her matches leading up to this fixture.
In their head-to-head encounters, Siniakova leads with two wins to Samsonova's one, including a recent victory in June 2024. This history may give Siniakova a psychological edge going into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Statistically, Liudmila Samsonova has struggled with her serve, recording a 5.1% ace percentage and a 5.0% double fault rate in her recent matches. This may hinder her ability to win crucial points against Siniakova, who has a slightly lower double fault rate at 6.5% but has been more consistent in her service games. The recent form of both players suggests that Siniakova has the advantage, particularly on clay where she has performed well, winning matches against higher-ranked opponents.
The previous match between these two players ended with a score of 2:0 in favor of Samsonova, but given Siniakova's recent form and head-to-head success, this match could see a reversal of fortunes.
This match is expected to be competitive, but Katerina Siniakova is favored to win based on her recent form and head-to-head record. The predicted score is 2:1 in favor of Siniakova, with the first set likely going to Siniakova, followed by a response from Samsonova in the second set, before Siniakova closes it out in the third.
Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Katerina Siniakova, Set 2 - Liudmila Samsonova, Set 3 - Katerina Siniakova
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 3
Break points: 4
In terms of tactics, Siniakova will likely focus on exploiting Samsonova's serve weaknesses, aiming to break early in the sets. Samsonova, needing to regain confidence, may adopt a more aggressive baseline strategy to counter Siniakova's consistency.
3 Reasons Why K. Siniakova Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors K. Siniakova 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors K. Siniakova.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, K. Siniakova has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Liudmila Samsonova, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
21.06.2026 11:00WTA Bad Homburg
Liudmila Samsonova
K. Siniakova
12
010101
57
34
35
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