Felix Auger-Aliassime has a career baseline around 56% on hard courts, but his current trajectory indicates he is trending downwards. This season, he has struggled with consistency, particularly evident in his recent outing at ATP Halle, where he fell to Frances Tiafoe. Known for his powerful serve and aggressive baseline play, he will need to find his rhythm quickly to compete effectively.
Auger-Aliassime arrives at Wimbledon after a series of commanding victories, winning all matches 3-0 against lesser-ranked opponents. While this may suggest a return to form, the quality of his next opponent and past performances at Wimbledon could pose significant challenges. He must elevate his game to keep pace with the competition.
Match results: F. Auger-Aliassime
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Zheng
30
76
62
61
W
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
D. Prizmic
30
76
63
75
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Shevchenko
30
63
61
64
W
19 Jun 2026ATP Halle
F. Tiafoe
F. Auger-Aliassime
21
36
63
L
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
L. Tien
F. Auger-Aliassime
01
57
W
15 Jun 2026ATP Halle
N. Borges
F. Auger-Aliassime
12
36
63
36
W
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
K. Majchrzak
02
46
36
L
11 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Fucsovics
20
63
64
W
3 Jun 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
F. Cobolli
13
64
46
46
46
L
1 Jun 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Tabilo
30
63
75
61
W
A. Davidovich Fokina
Player Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's career baseline on grass surfaces hovers around 62%, with a recent upward trend in form. His Elo rating reflects his growing confidence, particularly on grass, where he has shown considerable improvement over the last two years. With his unique left-handed play and relentless style, he poses a formidable challenge for any opponent.
Davidovich Fokina enters this match after three consecutive straight-set victories at Wimbledon, showcasing both his skill and mental toughness. His recent performances indicate a player on the rise, ready to capitalize on any errors from Auger-Aliassime. Given his current form and momentum, he looks poised to make a significant impact in this matchup.
Match results: A. Davidovich Fokina
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
M. Fucsovics
30
76
62
63
W
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
F. Marozsan
30
63
60
63
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
J. M. Cerundolo
30
64
64
76
W
27 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
E. Quinn
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
67
36
W
26 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
F. Marozsan
A. Davidovich Fokina
12
75
26
46
W
25 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
G. Dimitrov
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
36
36
W
24 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
A. Walton
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
46
57
W
19 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
A. Davidovich Fokina
10
63
L
18 Jun 2026ATP London
C. Moutet
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
46
36
W
16 Jun 2026ATP London
C. Norrie
A. Davidovich Fokina
01
26
W
Players Analysis
Félix Auger-Aliassime has shown strong form leading into this match, winning his last three matches at Wimbledon without dropping a set. His recent performances indicate a solid serve and effective baseline play. In contrast, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has also been impressive, winning his last three matches, but he has faced tougher competition, which may affect his stamina and consistency in this matchup.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head encounters, Auger-Aliassime has a slight edge, winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. Notably, he won their most recent encounter at the Boodles Challenge in June 2023, showcasing his ability to perform well on grass. Both players have been effective on serve, but Auger-Aliassime's recent form suggests he may have the upper hand in aces and break points, which could be crucial in a best-of-5 format.
This match is expected to be competitive, but Félix Auger-Aliassime is favored to win based on his recent form and head-to-head advantage. The predicted score is 3:1 in sets, with Auger-Aliassime taking the first two sets before Davidovich Fokina manages to secure one. The final set is likely to be closely contested, but Auger-Aliassime's serving prowess should see him through.
Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - Félix Auger-Aliassime, 2nd set - Félix Auger-Aliassime, 3rd set - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 4th set - Félix Auger-Aliassime
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 4
Break points: 6
Expect Auger-Aliassime to utilize his powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, while Davidovich Fokina will need to focus on returning effectively and capitalizing on any break opportunities. The match could hinge on the ability of Auger-Aliassime to maintain his serve under pressure, especially in the later sets.
3 Reasons Why F. Auger-Aliassime Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors F. Auger-Aliassime 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors F. Auger-Aliassime.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, F. Auger-Aliassime has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Davidovich Fokina, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
05.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Davidovich Fokina
31
11010010
128
45
63
Where to watch F. Auger-Aliassime vs A. Davidovich Fokina
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