Alex Eala has struggled to find her footing on the WTA tour, with a career baseline win percentage just below 56% on hard courts. Currently, she is on a declining trajectory, reflected in her recent performances, where she has won only one of her last five matches. Eala's serve identity has not translated into consistent results, particularly in high-pressure situations.
Her recent victory against Renata Zarazua at Wimbledon offered a glimmer of hope, but losses to Elina Svitolina and Elena Rybakina in Berlin showcased her ongoing challenges. With no wins in her last five matches against a variety of opponents, Eala enters this match needing a strong performance to regain momentum and build her confidence moving forward.
Match results: A. Eala
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Eala
R. Zarazua
20
61
62
W
22 Jun 2026WTA Bad Homburg
A. Eala
E. Mertens
02
36
36
L
20 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
L. Noskova
A. Eala
20
62
64
L
19 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
E. Svitolina
A. Eala
02
36
46
W
18 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
A. Eala
E. Rybakina
20
75
64
W
17 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
D. Vekic
A. Eala
02
57
46
W
10 Jun 2026WTA London
I. Jovic
A. Eala
20
62
62
L
9 Jun 2026WTA London
S. Zhang
A. Eala
02
36
26
W
7 Jun 2026Birmingham
A. Eala
N. Bartunkova
21
57
63
75
W
6 Jun 2026Birmingham
A. Eala
R. Masarova
21
62
46
63
W
M. Joint
Player Overview
M. Joint is navigating a difficult patch, with a career baseline hovering around 50% on hard surfaces. Her current form over the past two years indicates a stable yet unremarkable trajectory, and the recent trend has not been in her favor either. Joint's serve has not been a weapon, which has contributed to her struggles, particularly in tight matches.
Following a win against Serena Williams in the first round of Wimbledon, Joint's performance has been inconsistent, with losses to Ekaterina Arango and Yuliya Starodubtseva in her last two outings. The challenge for Joint lies in building on that initial success at Wimbledon while addressing the weaknesses that have plagued her throughout the season. Entering this match, she must find a way to capitalize on her opportunities to avoid another disappointing result.
Match results: M. Joint
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
S. Williams
M. Joint
02
36
36
W
22 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
M. Joint
E. Arango
01
46
L
22 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
M. Joint
V. Golubic
00
L
15 Jun 2026WTA Nottingham
M. Joint
Y. Starodubtseva
02
57
46
L
4 Jun 2026Makarska
Y. Kabbaj
M. Joint
20
63
64
L
4 Jun 2026Makarska
K. Kawa
M. Joint
02
57
16
W
25 May 2026WTA French Open
M. Joint
A. Potapova
02
16
26
L
17 May 2026WTA Strasbourg
M. Joint
A. Li
02
16
26
L
11 May 2026Paris
C. Paquet
M. Joint
21
57
60
63
L
7 May 2026WTA Rome
M. Joint
V. Golubic
02
57
26
L
Players Analysis
A. Eala has shown a strong performance in her recent matches, winning 7 out of her last 10, including a notable victory against R. Zarazua in the 1/64-finals of WTA Wimbledon. In contrast, M. Joint has struggled, managing only 3 wins in her last 10 matches, with her most recent victory against E. Arango in the WTA Eastbourne. This disparity in form suggests that Eala enters this match with a significant advantage.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their previous encounter, M. Joint defeated A. Eala 2-1 in sets, showcasing her ability to compete against Eala. However, Eala's recent form, particularly on grass, has been impressive, with a higher win rate compared to Joint's recent struggles. Eala's performance metrics indicate a better serve reliability and break-point conversion rate, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.
A. Eala — M. Joint Prediction
Given A. Eala's recent form and head-to-head history, she is favored to win this match. The predicted score is 2-1 in sets, with Eala likely to take the first set based on her strong start in recent matches.
Final score in sets: 2-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. Eala, Set 2: M. Joint, Set 3: A. Eala
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
In terms of tactics, A. Eala is expected to utilize her aggressive baseline play to pressure Joint, particularly on her second serve. Joint will need to focus on her serve to avoid giving Eala easy break opportunities, as Eala's return game has been particularly strong in recent matches.
3 Reasons Why A. Eala Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Eala 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Eala.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Eala has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Joint, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
02.07.2026 12:00WTA Wimbledon
A. Eala
M. Joint
21
101010
53
23
42
Where to watch A. Eala vs M. Joint
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Wimbledon Official Website - The official site of The Championships, Wimbledon, with information on matches, tickets, and broadcast details.