02.05.2026 • Updated: 13.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Soccer

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid – Prediction (12.05.2026)

Daniel Carter

Osasuna

LLLWL

May 12, 2026

19:30

La Liga

1 — 2

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Atletico Madrid

WLLWD

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 2 Wins

0% 1 Draws

0% 12 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 2.47

Both teams scored 27%

0.67 Total average 1.80

2.11 Yellow cards 1.44

0.00 Red cards 0.00

Last 5 matches

18.10.2025 La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Osasuna

1 0 1 0 0 0

2.58 1.14

4 2

1 3

0 0

12.01.2025 La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Osasuna

1 0 1 0 0 0

2.54 0.28

4 0

2 0

0 0

19.05.2024 La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Osasuna

1 0 1 4 1 3

1.56 1.91

7 5

2 2

0 0

21.05.2023 La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Osasuna

3 1 2 0 0 0

1.94 0.69

8 10

0 2

0 0

20.11.2021 La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Osasuna

1 0 1 0 0 0

— —

7 4

2 2

0 0

Osasuna

Team Overview

In their latest La Liga match, Osasuna faced Atletico Madrid at home, suffering a 1-2 defeat. Despite having 58% possession and more corner kicks, they couldn't convert their chances into a positive result.

Match statistics (Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid):

Possession: 58% vs 42%
Corners: 8 vs 4
Fouls: 15 vs 12
Yellow cards: 6 vs 5
Shots on target: 5 vs 4

Atletico Madrid

Team Overview

Atletico Madrid secured a 2-1 victory against Osasuna in their most recent La Liga encounter. This win came after a challenging stretch, showcasing their ability to bounce back despite recent setbacks.

Match statistics (Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid):

Possession: 58% vs 42%
Corners: 8 vs 4
Fouls: 15 vs 12
Yellow cards: 6 vs 5
Shots on target: 5 vs 4

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid Match Result

Atletico Madrid edges out Osasuna in a tightly contested battle

In a gripping encounter at El Sadar, Atletico Madrid secured a 2-1 victory over Osasuna, with goals from Ademola Lookman and Alexander Sorloth proving decisive. Despite a late strike from Kike Barja, the home side was unable to overturn the deficit.

The match began with Atletico Madrid taking an early lead through Lookman's penalty in the 15th minute, following a foul that set the tone for a physical contest. Osasuna dominated possession with 58% and registered a staggering 23 total shots, compared to Atletico's mere 5. However, the visitors were clinical when it mattered.

Atletico's second goal came from Sorloth in the 71st minute, showcasing their efficiency in front of goal. The home side's frustration was palpable as they struggled to convert their chances, managing only 5 shots on target. Both teams received a total of 6 yellow cards, highlighting the intensity of the match, while Atletico's Marcos Llorente received a red card in the 79th minute, leaving his team to defend their lead with ten men.

Osasuna's late goal in stoppage time brought a glimmer of hope, but ultimately, Atletico's disciplined defense held firm. This match exemplified the contrasting styles: Osasuna's relentless attacking play versus Atletico's strategic counter-attacks, culminating in a well-earned three points for the visitors.

Match Timeline

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid

Yellow Card

J. Galan • Yellow Card | Handling

14'

15'

Goal

A. Lookman • Penalty

18'

Substitution

In: R. Mendoza for R. Le Normand

Yellow Card

R. Garcia • Yellow Card | Foul

30'

Substitution

In: R. Moro for K. Barja

37'

Yellow Card

A. Budimir • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

45+9'

46'

Substitution

In: T. Almada for A. Sorloth

52'

Yellow Card

M. Llorente • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

57'

Yellow Card

Koke • Yellow Card | Foul

Yellow Card

K. Barja • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

57'

59'

Yellow Card

M. Pubill • Yellow Card | Holding

Substitution

In: R. Garcia for R. Garcia

60'

Substitution

In: J. Galan for A. Bretones

60'

71'

Goal

A. Sorloth • Assist: M. Llorente

Substitution

In: L. Torro for A. Oroz

72'

Substitution

In: M. Gomez for A. Osambela

72'

79'

Yellow Card

M. Llorente • Yellow Card | Foul

79'

Red Card

M. Llorente • Red Card | Foul

82'

Substitution

In: A. Lookman for C. Lenglet

83'

Yellow Card

D. Simeone

85'

Yellow Card

R. Le Normand • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

Yellow Card

A. Catena • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

85'

Goal

K. Barja • Assist: R. Garcia

90+1'

Yellow Card

F. Boyomo • Yellow Card | Foul

90+2'

Teams Form Analysis

Osasuna has struggled in their recent matches, with only 2 wins in their last 10 games, scoring 6 goals and conceding 9, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against per game. Their last match saw them lose 1-2 against Atletico Madrid, highlighting their inconsistency.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, has shown stronger form, winning 5 of their last 10 matches, with a total of 5 goals scored and only 4 conceded, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.8 against per game. Their recent victory against Osasuna further solidifies their dominance in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In head-to-head encounters, Atletico Madrid has a significant advantage, winning 12 out of 15 matches against Osasuna, with an average of 2.47 goals per game. The last five encounters have seen Atletico win 4 times, with Osasuna managing only 1 win. The average goals scored by Atletico in these matchups is 1.80, while Osasuna averages just 0.67.

Atletico's recent performance metrics indicate a higher expected goals (xG) rate, with their last match against Osasuna showing an xG of 2.58 compared to Osasuna's 1.14. This suggests that Atletico creates more quality chances, which is crucial for their scoring ability.

Osasuna — Atletico Madrid Prediction

Exact Score: 1 vs 2
1st Half: 0 vs 1
Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
Corners: 6 vs 6
Fouls: 12 vs 12
Yellow Cards: 2 vs 2
Shots on target: 5 vs 5
Offsides: 3 vs 3
Possession: 45% vs 55%

Atletico Madrid is expected to dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities. Their tactical approach will likely involve a strong pressing game to disrupt Osasuna's build-up play, while exploiting the flanks to create chances through crosses and quick transitions.

3 Reasons Why Atletico Madrid Will Win

Projected Score Edge.
Strong Recent Form.
Head-to-Head Advantage.

Match Prediction

12.05.2026 19:30 La Liga

Osasuna 1 0 1

Atletico Madrid 2 1 1

Lineups

Osasuna

S. Herrera G

V. Rosier D

A. Catena D

F. Boyomo D

A. Bretones D

J. Moncayola M

I. Munoz M

R. Garcia M

A. Oroz M

R. Moro M

A. Budimir F

Atletico Madrid

J. Oblak G

M. Pubill D

J. M. Gimenez D

D. Hancko D

M. Ruggeri D

M. Llorente M

Koke M

A. Baena M

A. Lookman M

A. Griezmann F

A. Sorloth F

Team Statistics

Games

Osasuna

H17 A18 All35

Atletico Madrid

H18 A17 All35

Wins

Osasuna

H9 A2 All11

Atletico Madrid

H14 A5 All19

Draws

Osasuna

H5 A4 All9

Atletico Madrid

H1 A5 All6

Losses

Osasuna

H3 A12 All15

Atletico Madrid

H3 A7 All10

Goals For

Osasuna

H29 A13 All42

Atletico Madrid

H38 A20 All58

Goals Against

Osasuna

H20 A25 All45

Atletico Madrid

H17 A21 All38

Avg Goals For

Osasuna

H1.7 A0.7 All1.2

Atletico Madrid

H2.1 A1.2 All1.7

Avg Goals Against

Osasuna

H1.2 A1.4 All1.3

Atletico Madrid

H0.9 A1.2 All1.1

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Osasuna
Atletico Madrid

Overall Strength

40% / 60%

Attack

43% / 57%

Defense

50% / 50%

Expected Goals (Model)

52% / 48%

Head-to-head Advantage

40% / 60%

Head-to-head Goals

55% / 45%

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Soccer

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid – Prediction (12.05.2026)

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid Match Result

Match Timeline

Teams Form Analysis

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Osasuna — Atletico Madrid Prediction

3 Reasons Why Atletico Madrid Will Win

Lineups

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid

Team Statistics

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Read also

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