Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle – Prediction (10.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest has shown a mixed form in their last ten matches, with a record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. They have scored a total of 10 goals while conceding 6, averaging 2.0 goals for per game and 1.2 against. In contrast, Newcastle has had a slightly better run, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against per game.

In their most recent match, Nottingham Forest drew 1-1 against Newcastle, while Newcastle won their last match against Brighton 3-1. This indicates that Newcastle may have a slight edge in confidence heading into this fixture.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Newcastle has a significant advantage with 7 wins out of 11 matches, while Nottingham Forest has only managed 3 wins. The average goals per game in these encounters is 3.64, with both teams frequently finding the net, as evidenced by an 82% BTTS rate. Recent matches have shown that both teams tend to engage in high-scoring affairs, which could suggest a similar trend in their upcoming clash.

Newcastle's expected goals (xG) in their last match against Nottingham was 1.55, while Nottingham's was 1.14, indicating that Newcastle has been more efficient in creating quality chances. Additionally, Newcastle's average possession in recent matches has been around 62%, which could allow them to control the game and create more opportunities.

Nottingham Forest — Newcastle Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 2
• 1st Half: 0 vs 1
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
• Corners: 5 vs 5
• Fouls: 12 vs 12
• Yellow Cards: 3 vs 2
• Shots on target: 7 vs 6
• Offsides: 2 vs 2
• Possession: 45% vs 55%

In terms of tactics, Newcastle is expected to utilize their high pressing game to disrupt Nottingham's build-up play, while Nottingham may focus on counter-attacks to exploit any spaces left by Newcastle's attacking intent. This could lead to a dynamic match with both teams looking to capitalize on defensive lapses.

3 Reasons Why Newcastle Will Win

• Strong Head-to-Head Record. Newcastle has won 7 out of the last 11 encounters against Nottingham Forest, showcasing their dominance in this matchup.
• Better Recent Form. Newcastle's recent performance includes a win against Brighton, while Nottingham struggled against Aston Villa, indicating a disparity in confidence and momentum.
• Superior Goal-Scoring Ability. With an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last ten matches, Newcastle has shown they can consistently find the back of the net, which is crucial in tight matches.

Match Prediction

10.05.2026 13:00 Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1 0 1

Newcastle 2 1 1

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