Prediction Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama — 16.07.2026

Teams Form Analysis

Vitoria has shown a strong performance in their last ten matches, winning six and losing only two, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Their recent victory in the Copa do Nordeste final against Fortaleza (2-1) highlights their attacking capabilities. Conversely, Vasco DA Gama has struggled, managing only two wins in their last ten matches, with a concerning average of just 1.0 goal scored per game and 2.2 goals conceded per game.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In head-to-head encounters, Vitoria has won 7 out of 15 matches against Vasco DA Gama, with an average of 2.87 goals per game in these fixtures. The last five matches between these teams have seen Vitoria score an average of 1.53 goals at home, while Vasco DA Gama has averaged 1.33 goals away. The recent form indicates a significant disparity in attacking efficiency, with Vitoria's xG per game being notably higher than that of Vasco DA Gama.

Vitoria — Vasco DA Gama Prediction

• Exact Score: 2 – 1
• 1st Half: 1 – 0
• Goals (Total): 2 – 1
• Corners: 5 – 3
• Fouls: 20 – 15
• Yellow Cards: 3 – 2
• Shots on target: 6 – 3
• Offsides: 2 – 1
• Possession: 55% – 45%

Vitoria's tactical approach will likely focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their speed on the wings to exploit Vasco DA Gama's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect them to press high and create multiple scoring opportunities, particularly in the first half.

3 Reasons Why Vitoria Will Win

• Home Advantage: Vitoria has a strong home record, winning 7 out of their last 10 home matches.
• Current Form: Vitoria's recent form shows they are scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game, while Vasco DA Gama is struggling with just 1.0 goal per game.
• Head-to-Head Record: In their last 15 encounters, Vitoria has won 7 times, demonstrating a historical edge over Vasco DA Gama.

Match Prediction

16.07.2026 22:30 Serie A

Vitoria 2 1 1

Vasco DA Gama 1 0 1

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