26.04.2026
Reading time: 5 min

Everton vs Manchester City – Prediction (04.05.2026)

Everton
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04 May 2026
19:00
Premier League

VS

Manchester City
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Player Ratings & Team Rating

Everton

Average rating
7.06

Top players:

  • J. Garner — 8.90 (3 g)
  • J. Tarkowski — 8.70 (1 g)
  • C. Alcaraz — 8.30 (3 g)
  • H. Armstrong — 8.30 (0 g)
  • D. McNeil — 7.60 (2 g)

Manchester City

Average rating
7.00

Top players:

  • R. Lewis — 8.05 (2 g)
  • J. Stones — 7.60 (0 g)
  • Bernardo Silva — 7.60 (5 g)
  • R. Aït-Nouri — 7.60 (0 g)
  • A. Khusanov — 7.45 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Everton
Manchester City


Strength


27% / 73%

Attacking Potential


44% / 56%

Defensive Potential


33% / 67%

Poisson Distribution


34% / 66%

Strength H2H


7% / 93%

Goals H2H


17% / 83%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the 35th round of the Premier League, Everton will host Manchester City at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The match carries significant implications for both teams as they navigate their respective challenges in the league.

Form Analysis

Everton’s recent form reflects a side struggling to find consistency, with three wins, one draw, and six losses in their last ten matches. Notably, they have faced tough opponents, including losses to Liverpool and Arsenal, while securing a commendable victory over Chelsea.

Conversely, Manchester City has experienced a rough patch with two wins and three losses in their last five encounters, yet their overall form remains strong with a higher win rate in the Premier League. Their recent matches show a resilience that could prove beneficial, despite the challenges faced in their recent fixtures.

Statistical Analysis

When we examine the statistics, Manchester City stands out with a 73% away form compared to Everton’s struggling 27% at home. City has been able to capitalize on their attacking prowess, consistently scoring against various opponents, while Everton has had difficulty converting chances into goals.

Head-to-head, the historical data shows that Manchester City has had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning four out of the last five encounters. This trend may influence the current match dynamics, giving City a psychological edge.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between these two teams favors Manchester City, who have won four of the last five fixtures against Everton. Their ability to maintain dominance in these encounters could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions on match day are expected to be overcast with a temperature of 8°C, which may affect the players’ performance. Additionally, playing at home, Everton will look to leverage their fan support, but their recent home form raises concerns.

Manchester City’s superior away record and recent performances suggest they will be well-prepared for this encounter. The combination of their attacking capability and Everton’s inconsistent defense could heavily influence the match outcome.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical advantages, and head-to-head history, Manchester City is favored to secure at least a point in this match. With Everton’s struggle to find form, they may find it challenging to contain City’s attacking threats, leading to a probable scoreline of 1:2 in favor of the visitors.

Prediction

Manchester City is expected to win or draw in this match, given their recent form and historical advantage over Everton.

Predicted Score: 1:2

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