28.04.2026 • Updated: 07.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Soccer

Deportes Tolima vs Club Nacional – Prediction (07.05.2026)

Daniel Carter

Deportes Tolima

WDWLW

May 7, 2026

02:00

CONMEBOL Libertadores

3 — 0

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Club Nacional

LLLLW

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 1 Wins

0% 0 Draws

0% 1 Wins

Total games 2

Total Goals Avg 3.50

Both teams scored 50%

2.00 Total average 1.50

4.00 Yellow cards 2.50

Last 2 matches

07.05.2026 CONMEBOL Li…

Deportes Tolima

Club Nacional

3 1 2 0 0 0

3.36 0.31

10 3

3 2

0 0

14.04.2026 CONMEBOL Li…

Club Nacional

Deportes Tolima

3 0 3 1 0 1

1.70 0.40

6 2

3 5

0 0

Deportes Tolima

Team Overview

In their latest CONMEBOL Libertadores match, Deportes Tolima hosted Club Nacional and secured a convincing 3-0 victory. This win not only showcased their attacking prowess but also solidified their position in the competition.

Match statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Club Nacional):

Possession: 62% vs 38%
Corners: 10 vs 3
Fouls: 3 vs 5
Yellow cards: 3 vs 2
Shots on target: 9 vs 2

Club Nacional

Team Overview

Club Nacional faced a tough outing in their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores clash against Deportes Tolima, suffering a 0-3 defeat. This loss reflected their struggles in the tournament and highlighted the need for improvement.

Match statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Club Nacional):

Possession: 62% vs 38%
Corners: 10 vs 3
Fouls: 3 vs 5
Yellow cards: 3 vs 2
Shots on target: 9 vs 2

Deportes Tolima - Club Nacional Match Result

Deportes Tolima Dominates Club Nacional with a 3-0 Victory

In a commanding performance, Deportes Tolima secured a decisive 3-0 victory over Club Nacional in the CONMEBOL Libertadores Group Stage clash. The home side showcased their attacking prowess, scoring three goals while keeping a clean sheet against their opponents.

The match began with Deportes Tolima asserting their dominance early on, controlling 62% of possession and launching a total of 19 shots, 9 of which were on target. Their relentless pressure paid off just before halftime, as J. P. Torres Patino opened the scoring in the first minute of stoppage time. This was quickly followed by a penalty conversion from L. Sandoval in the 45+7 minute, giving Tolima a comfortable 2-0 lead at the break.

Club Nacional struggled to find their rhythm throughout the match, managing only 8 total shots with just 2 on target. The visitors' attempts to respond were thwarted by a resolute Tolima defense, which limited their chances and maintained a strong midfield presence. Despite making substitutions at halftime to inject fresh energy into their lineup, Nacional could not capitalize on their opportunities.

In the second half, Tolima continued to press forward, and their efforts were rewarded when J. Mosquera scored in the 78th minute, assisted by J. Gonzalez. The home side's relentless attack was complemented by their solid defensive work, as they recorded only 3 fouls compared to Nacional's 5, and received 3 yellow cards to Nacional's 2.

As the match drew to a close, J. Gonzalez added a fourth goal for Deportes Tolima in the 89th minute, sealing a comprehensive victory. With this win, Tolima not only demonstrated their offensive capabilities but also reinforced their position in the group stage, leaving Club Nacional with much to ponder as they look to bounce back in their upcoming fixtures.

Match Timeline

Deportes Tolima

Club Nacional

Missed Penalty

J. P. Torres Patino • Assist: J. P. Torres Patino • Missed Penalty

45+1'

Goal

L. Sandoval • Penalty

45+7'

Yellow Card

L. Sandoval

45+8'

Yellow Card

B. Rovira • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

45+9'

Yellow Card

E. Lopez • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

45+10'

Yellow Card

S. Coates • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

46'

Substitution

In: N. Lodeiro for M. Silvera

64'

Yellow Card

A. dos Santos • Yellow Card | Foul

70'

Substitution

In: B. Barcia for J. De Los Santos

70'

Substitution

In: G. Carneiro for T. Veron

Substitution

In: B. Rovira for C. Trujillo

74'

Substitution

In: A. Parra Osorio for J. Mosquera

74'

Substitution

In: E. Lopez for J. Gonzalez

74'

Goal

J. Mosquera • Assist: J. Gonzalez

78'

Substitution

In: K. Florez for J. Valencia

81'

Substitution

In: J. P. Torres Patino for J. Nieto

81'

88'

Substitution

In: L. Boggio for L. Gonzalez

Goal

J. Gonzalez • Assist: L. Sandoval

89'

Teams Form Analysis

Deportes Tolima has shown strong form in their recent matches, winning 4 out of their last 5 games, including a convincing 3-0 victory against Club Nacional in their latest encounter. They have scored a total of 9 goals while conceding only 3 in their last 5 matches, demonstrating both offensive strength and defensive solidity.

In contrast, Club Nacional has struggled recently, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches. They have conceded 13 goals during this period, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Deportes Tolima could exploit.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head matchups, Deportes Tolima has won 1 out of 2 games against Club Nacional, with an average of 3.5 goals per game in these encounters. The last match saw Deportes Tolima dominate with 3 goals and a high expected goals (xG) of 3.36 compared to Club Nacional's 0.31. Tolima also had a significant advantage in corners, earning 10 to Nacional's 3.

Deportes Tolima's home advantage is notable, as they have maintained a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.6. This trend suggests they are likely to perform well at home against a struggling Nacional side.

Match Prediction: Deportes Tolima — Club Nacional (May 07, 2026)

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, Deportes Tolima is favored to win this matchup against Club Nacional.

Match Prediction

Exact Score: 3-0
1st Half: 1-0
Goals (Total): 3
Corners: 10
Fouls: 5
Yellow Cards: 3
Offsides: 1
Possession: 62%

Additional Expectations

Deportes Tolima to dominate possession
Club Nacional to struggle defensively
High likelihood of corners for Tolima
Potential for multiple yellow cards
Low scoring chances for Nacional

3 Reasons Why Deportes Tolima Will Win

Strong Recent Form. Deportes Tolima has been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive stability.

Home Advantage. Playing at home, Tolima has a strong record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.6.

Head-to-Head Dominance. In their recent encounters, Tolima has outperformed Nacional, including a decisive 3-0 victory in their last match.

Match Prediction

07.05.2026 02:00 CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima 3 1 2

Club Nacional 0 0 0

103

Lineups

Deportes Tolima

L. Marquinez G

J. Mosquera D

Y. Osorio D

D. Pedrozo D

S. P. Barbosa Gomez D

J. Nieto M

C. Trujillo M

J. Gonzalez M

E. Valencia M

J. Hernandez M

J. Valencia F

Club Nacional

I. Suarez —

J. Pintado —

P. Calione —

T. Viera —

F. Bais —

T. Veron —

L. Rodriguez —

A. Dos Santos —

J. De Los Santos —

M. Silvera —

P. Nunez —

Team Statistics

Games

Deportes Tolima

H5 A3 All8

Club Nacional

H1 A3 All4

Wins

Deportes Tolima

H3 A1 All4

Club Nacional

H1 A0 All1

Draws

Deportes Tolima

H2 A0 All2

Club Nacional

H0 A1 All1

Losses

Deportes Tolima

H0 A2 All2

Club Nacional

H0 A2 All2

Goals For

Deportes Tolima

H9 A2 All11

Club Nacional

H3 A3 All6

Goals Against

Deportes Tolima

H1 A4 All5

Club Nacional

H1 A8 All9

Avg Goals For

Deportes Tolima

H1.8 A0.7 All1.4

Club Nacional

H3 A1 All1.5

Avg Goals Against

Deportes Tolima

H0.2 A1.3 All0.6

Club Nacional

H1 A2.7 All2.3

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional

Overall Strength

64% / 36%

Attack

50% / 50%

Defense

60% / 40%

Expected Goals (Model)

87% / 13%

Head-to-head Advantage

0% / 100%

Head-to-head Goals

25% / 75%

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Deportes Tolima vs Club Nacional – Prediction (07.05.2026)

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Deportes Tolima - Club Nacional Match Result

Match Timeline

Teams Form Analysis

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Match Prediction: Deportes Tolima — Club Nacional (May 07, 2026)

Match Prediction

Additional Expectations

3 Reasons Why Deportes Tolima Will Win

Lineups

Deportes Tolima

Club Nacional

Team Statistics

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Read also

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