Alaves vs Mallorca – Prediction (25.04.2026)

Introduction

In the 32nd round of La Liga, Alaves will host Mallorca at the Estadio Mendizorrotza. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they strive to secure vital points in their battle against relegation.

Form Analysis

Alaves has shown inconsistency in their recent matches, managing only one victory in their last ten games, with three draws and six losses. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with a mere 40% success rate in their last five home matches. Despite a few commendable performances, their inability to convert opportunities into wins has left them in a precarious position.

On the other hand, Mallorca has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last five outings, with four losses and just one draw. Their away form is slightly better at 67%, but they still lack the necessary firepower to consistently find the back of the net. This ongoing struggle to translate defensive resilience into points weighs heavily on their confidence going into this match.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Alaves has scored only 11 goals in their last ten matches, while conceding 20, indicating defensive frailties that have plagued their campaign. Mallorca, conversely, has also struggled offensively, scoring just 9 goals in the same span, but they have managed to concede slightly fewer at 15. The head-to-head metrics suggest a tight matchup historically, with the last five encounters yielding two wins for Alaves, three draws, and no victories for Mallorca.

The average score in recent meetings has been low, with a tendency for matches to finish under 2.5 goals, highlighting both teams’ troubles in attack and a lack of clinical finishing. This statistical backdrop sets the stage for a potentially low-scoring affair.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Alaves and Mallorca reveals a competitive rivalry, with Alaves having a slight edge in terms of wins. However, the recent trend shows a series of draws, indicating that neither team has managed to dominate the other. The most recent encounters have been tightly contested, suggesting that this match could follow a similar pattern.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Estadio Mendizorrotza, where Alaves will aim to leverage their home advantage. However, the pressure of needing points may weigh heavily on their players. Weather conditions are expected to be clear, which typically favors an open game, but both teams will likely adopt a cautious approach given their current standings. The psychological aspect of the match cannot be understated, as both teams are aware of the implications this game holds for their relegation battles.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and historical context, it seems plausible that Mallorca could leave with at least a point from this encounter, if not more. The prediction leans towards a draw, with both teams locked in a stalemate as they struggle to find their scoring touch. The expected score is 1:1, reflecting the difficulties both sides have faced in recent weeks.