Alaves vs Athletic Club – Prediction (02.05.2026) Alaves vs Athletic Club – Prediction (02.05.2026)
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25.04.2026
Reading time: 5 min
Soccer

Alaves vs Athletic Club – Prediction (02.05.2026)

Daniel Carter
Daniel Carter

Alaves
LDDWD

02 May 2026
16:30
La Liga

VS

Athletic Club
WLLWL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Alaves

Average rating
6.78

Top players:

  • Carlos Vicente — 7.87 (8 g)
  • Toni Martínez — 7.35 (12 g)
  • Raúl Fernández — 7.33 (0 g)
  • M. Diarra — 7.30 (0 g)
  • C. Benavídez — 7.07 (0 g)

Athletic Club

Average rating
6.58

Top players:

  • Yeray — 7.20 (0 g)
  • Yuri — 7.15 (0 g)
  • Mikel Jauregizar — 7.12 (3 g)
  • Alejandro Rego — 7.10 (1 g)
  • Hugo Rincón — 7.05 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Alaves
Athletic Club


Strength


50% / 50%

Attacking Potential


73% / 27%

Defensive Potential


42% / 58%

Poisson Distribution


60% / 40%

Strength H2H


50% / 50%

Goals H2H


43% / 57%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 34th round of La Liga, Alaves will face Athletic Club in a match that promises to be pivotal for both teams. With both sides battling to secure crucial points, the outcome of this fixture could significantly impact their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Alaves has shown a mixed bag of form in their recent outings, managing just one victory in their last ten matches, alongside three draws and six losses. Their home performance has been slightly better, yet still hovering around the 40% mark, indicating a struggle to convert opportunities into wins. On the other hand, Athletic Club’s form has been equally concerning, with only one win in their last ten matches and four defeats contributing to their shaky confidence. Playing away, they have also recorded a 40% success rate, revealing vulnerabilities in their away strategy.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing statistics, Alaves has a slightly better recent head-to-head record against Athletic Club, with three wins in their last five encounters. However, both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, with Alaves averaging just 1.4 goals in their last meetings, while Athletic Club has also battled to maintain a strong scoring record. Notably, neither team has been able to exceed a total of two goals in their recent matchups, suggesting a tendency for lower-scoring affairs.

Head-to-Head History

In their past five meetings, Alaves has had the upper hand with three victories compared to Athletic Club’s single win, alongside one draw. This historical advantage could play a crucial psychological role as they approach this match.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Estadio Mendizorrotza, which could provide Alaves with a home advantage, amplifying the pressure on Athletic Club. Weather conditions are also expected to be mild, allowing both teams to focus on their tactical approaches without external hindrances. Given the stakes for both clubs, expect an intense battle as they vie for essential points in the league.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form of both teams and their historical encounters, I predict that Alaves will manage to secure a result, potentially winning or drawing the match. With Athletic Club’s struggles away from home and Alaves’ ability to capitalize on their head-to-head advantage, the final score is likely to reflect a closely contested match, with a predicted score of 2:1 in favor of Alaves.

Prediction

Alaves is likely to win or draw the match based on their historical performance against Athletic Club and current form.

Predicted Score: 2:1

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