Prediction Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks — 19.07.2026

Teams Form Analysis

Both teams have not played in their last ten matches, making it difficult to assess their current form. However, the home team has shown a solid average of 8.9 goals per game this season, while the away team has a higher scoring average of 13.3 goals per game. This suggests that the away team may have a slight edge in offensive capability based on their scoring trends.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

The home team averages 316.4 disposals per game, while the away team averages 364.7, indicating a potential advantage for the away team in ball possession. Additionally, the away team has a higher average of clearances (35.8) compared to the home team (30.8), which could impact their ability to transition from defense to attack effectively. Venue advantage may play a role, but without recent match data, it is challenging to quantify its impact.

Home Team — Away Team Prediction

• Exact Score: 85 – 110
• Q1: 20 – 30
• Q2: 25 – 30
• Q3: 20 – 30
• Q4: 20 – 20
• Total points: 195
• Winning margin: 25
• Disposals: 310 – 370
• Kicks: 180 – 210
• Handballs: 130 – 150
• Total Clearances: 30 – 36
• Marks: 75 – 95
• Tackles: 45 – 60
• Hitouts: 23 – 43
• Goal Assists: 6 – 10
• Free Kicks: 18 – 17

The away team is expected to utilize their superior clearance and disposal averages to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities. The home team will need to focus on defensive strategies to limit the away team's scoring chances, particularly in the midfield where clearances can dictate the flow of the game.

3 Reasons Why Away Team Will Win

• Scoring Ability: The away team has a significantly higher average of 13.3 goals per game compared to the home team's 8.9, indicating a stronger offensive performance.
• Clearance Advantage: The away team averages 35.8 clearances per game, which is higher than the home team's 30.8, suggesting better control in midfield battles.
• Disposal Efficiency: With an average of 364.7 disposals, the away team is likely to dominate possession, further enhancing their scoring opportunities.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

19.07.2026 03:10 AFL Premiership

Richmond Tigers

Hawthorn Hawks

85 110

20 30

25 30

20 30

20 20

195 —

-25 +25

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 310 370

Kicks 180 210

Handballs 130 150

Total Clearances 30 36

Marks 75 95

Tackles 45 60

Hitouts 23 43

Goal Assists 6 10

Free Kicks 18 17