11.07.2026

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ATP Bastad

Prediction F. Passaro vs M. Kasnikowski — 12.07.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 138

F. Passaro - M. Kasnikowski

Bastad

July 12, 2026 • 10:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 409

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1

H2H W-L 1-0-0

Avg sets per match 2.00

Last 5 W-L 1-0

Last 3 W-L 1-0

Current streak W1

Sets balance +2

Avg sets (last 5) 2.00

Sets range 2-2

3-set matches 0 (0%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 1/0 • 0/0

100% 1 Wins

0% 0 Draws

0% 0 Wins

Last 1 match

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

19 Sep 2023

M. Kasnikowski - F. Passaro

0:2 (5-7, 1-6)

Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men

—

F. Passaro

Player Overview

Federico Passaro is navigating a challenging phase in his career, reflected in a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. This has been compounded by a declining trend over the last two years, where he has struggled to find his footing. His recent matches indicate a player grappling with consistency, particularly on the surface he has historically found less success.

In his last five outings, Passaro has not clinched a single victory, highlighted by a recent loss to H. Squire in Trieste. With no sets won and only a draw against S. Nagal to show for his efforts, the upcoming clash will be pivotal. The pressure mounts as he faces M. Kasnikowski, a contest that demands a significant turnaround for Passaro to regain any semblance of momentum.

Match results: F. Passaro

8 Jul 2026 Trieste

H. Squire

F. Passaro

2 1

5 7

6 4

7 5

7 Jul 2026 Trieste

P. O. Fellin

F. Passaro

0 2

3 6

1 Jul 2026 Milan

F. Passaro

E. Dalla Valle

0 2

2 6

4 6

30 Jun 2026 Milan

D. Michalski

F. Passaro

0 2

4 6

5 7

29 Jun 2026 Milan

S. Nagal

F. Passaro

0 0

24 Jun 2026 Targu Mures

N. McDonald

F. Passaro

2 0

6 3

6 4

23 Jun 2026 Targu Mures

O. Roca Batalla

F. Passaro

0 1

4 6

16 Jun 2026 Parma

O. Roca Batalla

F. Passaro

2 0

6 4

6 0

25 Feb 2026 Santiago

F. Passaro

D. Vallejo

0 1

3 6

19 Feb 2026 Rio de Janeiro

A. Tabilo

F. Passaro

2 1

4 6

6 2

M. Kasnikowski

Player Overview

Maciej Kasnikowski has shown flashes of potential but remains on the cusp of breakthrough performances. His career win percentage is yet to stabilize, reflecting a mixed trajectory where he has secured victories but also faced setbacks. Currently, he is in a stable form, having alternated wins and losses in his recent matches, which suggests he is capable but lacks the consistency to dominate.

Match results: M. Kasnikowski

10 Jul 2026 Iasi

M. Kasnikowski

J. Kym

1 2

6 4

0 6

3 6

8 Jul 2026 Iasi

P. Martinez

M. Kasnikowski

1 2

6 4

3 6

5 7

6 Jul 2026 Iasi

M. Kasnikowski

F. Cina

2 1

6 4

3 6

7 5

4 Jul 2026 Brasov

M. Kasnikowski

Z. Piros

1 2

6 4

3 6

2 6

3 Jul 2026 Brasov

S. Gueymard Wayenburg

M. Kasnikowski

0 2

4 6

2 6

1 Jul 2026 Brasov

M. Kasnikowski

A. Santamarta Roig

2 0

6 3

6 2

29 Jun 2026 Brasov

M. Kasnikowski

A. Andrade

1 0

6 1

17 Jun 2026 Poznan

M. Kasnikowski

J. Choinski

1 2

4 6

6 2

3 6

16 Jun 2026 Poznan

M. Kasnikowski

L. Giustino

1 0

6 4

9 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification

M. Kasnikowski

E. Dalla Valle

0 2

5 7

2 6

Players Analysis

F. Passaro has shown inconsistent form recently, with only 4 wins in his last 10 matches. His last match resulted in a loss against H. Squire, where he lost 1-2. In contrast, M. Kasnikowski has been in better form, winning 5 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory against J. Kym. This suggests that Kasnikowski may have a slight edge in terms of current performance.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their previous encounter on September 19, 2023, F. Passaro defeated M. Kasnikowski in straight sets, winning 2-0. This historical performance could play a crucial role in their upcoming match. Additionally, Passaro's recent matches indicate a tendency to struggle against higher-ranked opponents, while Kasnikowski has been able to secure wins against similar competition. The surface type in Bastad may also favor Kasnikowski, who has shown better adaptability on clay courts compared to Passaro.

F. Passaro — M. Kasnikowski Prediction

Considering the recent form and head-to-head history, M. Kasnikowski is predicted to win this match against F. Passaro. The analysis indicates that Kasnikowski's improved performance and recent victories give him an advantage. The expected score is likely to be 1-2 in favor of Kasnikowski.

Final score in sets: 1-2
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: F. Passaro 0 - 1 M. Kasnikowski, Set 2: F. Passaro 0 - 1 M. Kasnikowski, Set 3: F. Passaro 1 - 0 M. Kasnikowski
Expected aces: 4
Expected double faults: 2
Expected break points: 3

In terms of tactics, M. Kasnikowski is expected to utilize his strong baseline game to pressure Passaro, who may struggle to handle the pace and placement of Kasnikowski's shots. Additionally, Kasnikowski's ability to convert break points will be crucial in determining the outcome of the match.

3 Reasons Why M. Kasnikowski Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Kasnikowski 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Kasnikowski.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Kasnikowski has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than F. Passaro, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

12.07.2026 10:00 Bastad

F. Passaro

M. Kasnikowski

1 2

0 0 1 1 1 0