11.07.2026

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ATP Gstaad

Prediction Federico Cina vs C. Hemery — 12.07.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 225

Federico Cina - C. Hemery

ATP Gstaad Final

July 12, 2026 • 10:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 316

Federico Cina

Player Overview

Federico Cina struggles with a career baseline win percentage near 44%, a mark that reflects his challenges on tour. Currently, his two-year trajectory shows a declining form trend, which has been evident in recent matches as he attempts to find his footing on the ATP circuit.

His latest outing at ATP Gstaad yielded a win over P. Zahraj, but prior to that, he faced a string of defeats, including losses at Wimbledon and in Brasov. With no wins in his last five matches before this tournament, Cina's performance must improve if he aims to make a deeper run here in Gstaad.

Match results: Federico Cina

11 Jul 2026 ATP Gstaad

F. Cina

P. Zahraj

2 0

7 5

6 3

6 Jul 2026 Iasi

M. Kasnikowski

F. Cina

2 1

6 4

3 6

7 5

29 Jun 2026 Brasov

A. Santamarta Roig

F. Cina

2 0

6 4

6 3

24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

H. Gaston

F. Cina

2 0

7 5

6 4

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

G. Cadenasso

F. Cina

0 2

3 6

2 6

13 Jun 2026 Bratislava

F. Cina

T. Daniel

1 2

6 0

2 6

12 Jun 2026 Bratislava

Z. Kolar

F. Cina

1 2

6 4

4 6

3 6

10 Jun 2026 Bratislava

F. Cina

J. Choinski

2 0

6 1

7 5

8 Jun 2026 Bratislava

F. Cina

M. Topo

2 0

6 3

6 2

27 May 2026 ATP French Open

F. Cina

J. De Jong

0 3

3 6

1 6

3 6

C. Hemery

Player Overview

C. Hemery has a career baseline win percentage just above 45%, showing a modest but steady profile. His recent form suggests a stable trend, yet he has struggled, particularly during the last few weeks, which culminated in a recent victory against D. Michalski at ATP Gstaad.

Despite this win, Hemery's previous matches reveal inconsistency, including a couple of disappointing losses in Troyes. With a mixed bag of results leading into this match, he will need to harness the momentum from his recent victory to challenge effectively against Federico Cina.

Match results: C. Hemery

11 Jul 2026 ATP Gstaad

D. Michalski

C. Hemery

1 2

6 2

3 6

4 Jul 2026 Troyes

C. Hemery

M. Moeller

0 2

6 7

3 Jul 2026 Troyes

E. Coulibaly

C. Hemery

2 1

15 15

2 Jul 2026 Troyes

C. A. Caniato

C. Hemery

0 2

3 6

1 6

30 Jun 2026 Troyes

A. Matusevich

C. Hemery

0 2

2 6

15 Jun 2026 Royan

L. Ratti

C. Hemery

2 1

3 6

6 1

9 Jun 2026 Lyon

C. Hemery

A. Moro Canas

0 1

3 6

2 Jun 2026 Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualification

K. Montsi

C. Hemery

2 1

3 6

6 3

7 5

27 May 2026 Centurion (South Africa) - Qualification

C. Hemery

O. Kimhi

0 1

1 6

26 May 2026 Centurion (South Africa) - Qualification

C. Hemery

K. Montsi

1 0

6 4

Players Analysis

F. Cina has shown a mixed form recently, with a record of 5 wins and 5 losses in his last 10 matches. His recent performance includes a notable victory against P. Zahraj in the semi-finals of the ATP Gstaad, where he won convincingly. However, he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents, losing to A. Santamarta Roig and H. Gaston in earlier rounds of significant tournaments. On the other hand, C. Hemery has been in slightly better form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches. He recently defeated D. Michalski in the semi-finals, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. Both players have a similar playing style, but Hemery's recent success may give him a psychological edge.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of statistics, F. Cina has scored a total of 12 games in his last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 games per match. C. Hemery, however, has also scored 10 games in his last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 games per match. This indicates that both players have been relatively evenly matched in terms of scoring. Additionally, neither player has a significant head-to-head record, which suggests that this match could be closely contested. The surface at ATP Gstaad is clay, which typically favors players with strong baseline games, and both players have experience on this surface.

F. Cina — C. Hemery Prediction

Considering the recent forms and match statistics, F. Cina is predicted to win this match against C. Hemery. The forecast suggests a score of 2 sets to 1 in favor of F. Cina, with the first set likely being closely contested. The expected performance metrics indicate that F. Cina will secure more aces and break points, which could be crucial in tight situations.

Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: F. Cina, Set 2: C. Hemery, Set 3: F. Cina
Expected aces: F. Cina: 5, C. Hemery: 3
Expected double faults: F. Cina: 2, C. Hemery: 3
Expected break points: F. Cina: 4, C. Hemery: 2

In terms of tactics, F. Cina may look to dominate with aggressive baseline play and capitalize on Hemery's double faults. Conversely, Hemery will need to focus on his serve to avoid giving away easy points and maintain pressure on Cina's service games. The match is expected to be competitive, especially in the first set, where both players will be looking to establish their rhythm.

3 Reasons Why F. Cina Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors F. Cina 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors F. Cina.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, F. Cina has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than C. Hemery, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

12.07.2026 10:00 ATP Gstaad

Federico Cina

C. Hemery

2 1

1 0 1 0 1 0