Hubert Hurkacz's career has seen him establish a solid baseline on grass, with a current trajectory showing his form is stable. His recent matches reveal a player who can dominate opponents, as evidenced by three consecutive wins at Wimbledon, including a convincing victory over Tommy Paul. Hurkacz's ability to serve effectively and maintain pressure on returns remains a hallmark of his game, essential for success in this tournament.
In his latest outings, Hurkacz has not dropped a set, showcasing his capacity to control matches. His recent defeat to Casper Ruud may have been a setback, but he rebounded quickly in the Wimbledon draw. Against Jan-Lennard Struff, he will need to leverage his service game and consistency to avoid any slip-ups, as Struff has shown resilience in his own matches.
Match results: H. Hurkacz
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Hurkacz
T. Paul
31
46
76
75
62
W
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Hurkacz
S. Ofner
30
76
64
64
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
C. Ruud
H. Hurkacz
03
46
26
67
W
25 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
J. Mensik
H. Hurkacz
21
06
119
L
24 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
H. Hurkacz
S. Baez
20
75
61
W
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
H. Hurkacz
D. Altmaier
12
63
36
57
L
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
A. Rublev
H. Hurkacz
02
36
26
W
10 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
H. Hurkacz
M. Fucsovics
10
63
W
28 May 2026ATP French Open
H. Hurkacz
F. Tiafoe
02
46
46
L
25 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Munar
H. Hurkacz
13
36
36
62
36
W
J-L. Struff
Player Overview
Jan-Lennard Struff enters this match with a mixed history but a promising current form trajectory, highlighted by a strong performance against Daniil Medvedev in his last match. His Elo rating indicates he is performing at a higher level than his career average, particularly on grass, where he has become a formidable opponent. Struff's ability to adapt his game to different surfaces has improved, making him a dangerous competitor.
Struff's recent results feature a mix of ups and downs, including a tough loss to Nicolas Borges before bouncing back against players like Sebastian Baez. Winning three of his last five matches at Wimbledon illustrates his capacity to rise to the occasion. Facing Hurkacz will be a challenge, but if Struff can maintain his level, he could create an opening to upset the higher seed.
Match results: J-L. Struff
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
J-L. Struff
D. Medvedev
30
76
76
75
W
2 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
B. Nakashima
J-L. Struff
23
64
67
67
76
67
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
J-L. Struff
S. Baez
32
61
76
46
26
75
W
23 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
J-L. Struff
N. Borges
02
46
57
L
22 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
J-L. Struff
M. Landaluce
21
63
16
75
W
10 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
J-L. Struff
A. Bublik
12
63
26
L
9 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
J-L. Struff
A. Galarneau
20
62
63
W
28 May 2026ATP French Open
J-L. Struff
J. Faria
02
57
26
L
26 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Bublik
J-L. Struff
03
57
46
57
W
18 May 2026ATP Hamburg
J. Mensik
J-L. Struff
10
62
L
Players Analysis
Hubert Hurkacz has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a solid performance at Wimbledon where he won his last two matches convincingly. His serve has been particularly effective, allowing him to dominate games. In contrast, Jan-Lennard Struff has had a mixed bag of results, winning 5 out of his last 10 matches, but he has shown resilience, particularly in his recent matches at Wimbledon where he secured a notable victory against Daniil Medvedev.
Historically, Hurkacz has had the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters, winning 2 out of the last 3 matches, including their most recent meeting in February 2024 at ATP Dubai, where he won 2-1. This trend suggests that Hurkacz may have a psychological advantage heading into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Hurkacz's recent performance statistics indicate he has been winning sets decisively, often taking them with a score of 6-0 or 6-1. His serve has been a key factor, as he averages a high number of aces per match, which could be crucial on the grass surface at Wimbledon. Struff, while capable, has shown vulnerability against strong servers, which could play to Hurkacz's advantage. Additionally, Hurkacz's ability to break serve has been impressive, with a higher break point conversion rate compared to Struff.
On the other hand, Struff's recent form shows he has been competitive, but he has struggled against top-tier opponents, particularly in high-pressure situations. His recent matches have seen him drop sets, indicating potential weaknesses that Hurkacz could exploit.
H. Hurkacz — J-L. Struff Prediction
Given the recent form, head-to-head history, and surface advantages, Hubert Hurkacz is favored to win this match. The prediction is for Hurkacz to take the match in a competitive 3 sets, likely winning the first two sets before Struff may take a consolation set.
Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: H. Hurkacz, 2nd set: H. Hurkacz, 3rd set: J-L. Struff
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 4
Break points: 5
In terms of tactical expectations, Hurkacz will likely focus on aggressive serving and net play, aiming to capitalize on Struff's return weaknesses. Struff, on the other hand, may need to adopt a more defensive strategy, looking to extend rallies and exploit any potential errors from Hurkacz. The match could hinge on the effectiveness of Hurkacz's serve and whether Struff can find a way to break through that formidable defense.
3 Reasons Why H. Hurkacz Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors H. Hurkacz 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors H. Hurkacz.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, H. Hurkacz has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J-L. Struff, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
05.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
H. Hurkacz
J-L. Struff
31
11010010
126
45
52
Where to watch H. Hurkacz vs J-L. Struff
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