Grigor Dimitrov, known for his elegant play and versatile shot-making, has a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. Despite a current trajectory that suggests he's in a steady phase, recent results indicate a challenging stretch, particularly with a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at ATP Mallorca. This match against Matteo Berrettini will be crucial as Dimitrov attempts to leverage his skill set on grass, where his performance has historically been more favorable.
In his last five matches, Dimitrov has shown mixed results, with victories against J. Mensik and D. Sweeny, but he hasn't won a set in his last two losses. His recent form lacks the sharpness needed to consistently challenge top players, which raises questions about his readiness for Berrettini, who has a strong Wimbledon pedigree. A win here could signal a resurgence, but another early exit might further complicate his season.
Match results: G. Dimitrov
2 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
J. Mensik
G. Dimitrov
13
67
64
57
36
W
30 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
D. Sweeny
G. Dimitrov
03
67
36
57
W
25 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
G. Dimitrov
A. Davidovich Fokina
02
36
36
L
24 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
A. Shelbayh
G. Dimitrov
02
26
46
W
23 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
M. Polmans
G. Dimitrov
01
16
W
18 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
K. Jacquet
01
36
L
17 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
C. Gannon
20
62
63
W
16 Jun 2026Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
C. Rodesch
20
63
64
W
19 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Faria
G. Dimitrov
21
36
75
L
13 May 2026Bordeaux
M. Damm
G. Dimitrov
20
L
M. Berrettini
Player Overview
Matteo Berrettini, with a career baseline win percentage of 62% on grass, is currently riding a wave of success as he enters this match. His recent performances reflect a rising trend, highlighted by solid victories over opponents like A. Fils and S. Wawrinka at Wimbledon. Berrettini's powerful serve and aggressive baseline play give him a distinct advantage on grass, a surface where he thrives.
Berrettini's recent form includes an impressive win-loss record of 3-2 in his last five matches, with a notable loss to Marco Arnaldi at the French Open. This mixture of results suggests his game is on the upswing, but he must remain vigilant against Dimitrov, who can exploit any lapses. With his history at Wimbledon, Berrettini will be looking to capitalize on his current momentum and advance further into the tournament.
Match results: M. Berrettini
2 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
M. Berrettini
A. Fils
31
64
75
36
63
W
30 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
S. Wawrinka
M. Berrettini
13
76
67
67
67
W
3 Jun 2026ATP French Open
M. Berrettini
M. Arnaldi
02
57
25
L
1 Jun 2026ATP French Open
J. M. Cerundolo
M. Berrettini
01
36
W
30 May 2026ATP French Open
M. Berrettini
F. Comesana
32
57
64
W
28 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Rinderknech
M. Berrettini
03
46
46
46
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
M. Fucsovics
M. Berrettini
03
57
16
26
W
14 May 2026Valencia
C. Ugo Carabelli
M. Berrettini
10
64
L
13 May 2026Valencia
M. Berrettini
T. Daniel
20
64
62
W
7 May 2026ATP Rome
A. Popyrin
M. Berrettini
20
62
63
L
Players Analysis
Grigor Dimitrov has struggled in his recent matches, winning only 3 out of his last 10, with a notable defeat against J. Mensik in the last round. In contrast, Matteo Berrettini has shown better form, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a solid performance against A. Fils. This recent form gives Berrettini a psychological edge heading into this matchup.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Both players have demonstrated varying levels of performance on grass, with Berrettini traditionally being stronger on this surface. Dimitrov's recent matches have seen him struggle to maintain consistency, while Berrettini's serve has been more reliable, contributing to his higher win rate. The absence of head-to-head matches in the data suggests a lack of direct historical context, but Berrettini's current form and surface advantage make him a formidable opponent.
G. Dimitrov — M. Berrettini Prediction
This match is expected to be competitive, but Matteo Berrettini's recent form and superior performance on grass give him the edge. The predicted score reflects a close contest, with Berrettini likely to take the match in four sets.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: M. Berrettini, 2nd set: G. Dimitrov, 3rd set: M. Berrettini, 4th set: M. Berrettini
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6
Matteo Berrettini is expected to leverage his powerful serve to gain an early advantage, while Grigor Dimitrov will need to focus on returning effectively to stay competitive. The match could hinge on Berrettini's ability to maintain his serve under pressure, especially in crucial moments.
3 Reasons Why M. Berrettini Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Berrettini 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Berrettini.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Berrettini has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than G. Dimitrov, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
04.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
G. Dimitrov
M. Berrettini
13
01001011
812
45
46
Where to watch G. Dimitrov vs M. Berrettini
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