27.03.2026
Reading time: 5 min

Union La Calera vs D. La Serena – Prediction (28.03.2026)

Union La Calera
WLDLW

28 March 2026
21:30
Copa De La Liga

VS

D. La Serena
LDDWW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Union La Calera

Average rating
6.77

Top players:

  • K. Méndez — 7.53 (2 g)
  • S. Sáez — 7.40 (5 g)
  • J. Requena — 7.22 (0 g)
  • R. Cáseres — 6.93 (1 g)
  • N. Palma — 6.80 (0 g)

D. La Serena

Average rating
6.78

Top players:

  • J. Vargas — 7.69 (2 g)
  • L. Alarcón — 7.33 (1 g)
  • G. Escalante — 7.06 (1 g)
  • F. Mac Allister — 7.03 (0 g)
  • S. Díaz — 7.03 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Union La Calera
D. La Serena


Strength


75% / 25%

Attacking Potential


25% / 75%

Defensive Potential


83% / 17%

Poisson Distribution


0% / 100%

Strength H2H


15% / 85%

Goals H2H


27% / 73%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the third round of the Copa De La Liga, Union La Calera will face D. La Serena in what promises to be a crucial clash for both sides. The match carries significant weight as both teams seek to strengthen their positions in the tournament standings.

Form Analysis

Union La Calera’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent encounter was a narrow victory against Universidad de Chile, but prior to that, they struggled against A. Italiano and O’Higgins, indicating inconsistencies in their performances.

On the other hand, D. La Serena has also shown a lack of consistency, managing just one win in their last five outings. Their previous match resulted in a defeat against A. Italiano, but prior to that, they secured a commendable draw against Universidad de Chile. This inconsistency places both teams in a precarious position as they look for crucial points.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics, Union La Calera has a slight edge at home with a recent home form of 50%, reflecting two wins out of five matches. In contrast, D. La Serena has struggled significantly away from home, only managing a 17% success rate in their last five away games, which raises concerns about their ability to perform on the road.

In head-to-head statistics, the recent encounters favor D. La Serena, as they have won three of the last five matches against Union La Calera. However, the overall performance indicators suggest that both teams have the potential to score, with a tendency towards matches exceeding 2.5 goals in their past meetings.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two teams has seen D. La Serena prevail in several key encounters. In their most recent match, D. La Serena secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Union La Calera, which may have psychological implications going into this game.

Influencing Factors

Several factors will influence the outcome of this match. The game will be played at Estadio La Portada, which could provide a slight advantage for Union La Calera, given their home ground familiarity. Additionally, the weather conditions on match day could play a critical role; a rainy day may favor a more defensive style of play, impacting the scoring opportunities.

Furthermore, both teams are under pressure to secure points, which might lead to a cautious approach or even aggressive tactics depending on the early developments of the match. This psychological edge could sway the momentum, especially if one team scores early.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and historical performance, D. La Serena appears to have a stronger psychological advantage heading into this match, especially after their recent victory over Union La Calera. The expectation is that D. La Serena will capitalize on their previous success and play for a win or a draw, aiming to secure vital points. Therefore, the predicted score is 1:2, with D. La Serena edging out their rivals in a tightly contested match.

Prediction

D. La Serena is likely to secure at least a draw or a victory in this match, considering their recent head-to-head success.

Predicted Score: 1:2

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