⚽ Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Melbourne City — Analytics and Prediction (11.02.2026)

Introduction

Ulsan Hyundai FC will face Melbourne City in an exciting AFC Champions League clash. Ulsan Hyundai, known for their strong attacking play, will look to leverage their home advantage at the Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Meanwhile, Melbourne City, who have shown resilience in away matches, aim to capitalize on their recent form to secure a vital away point or even a win.

Form Analysis

Ulsan Hyundai FC’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins and one loss in their last three matches. Their latest encounter saw them narrowly defeated by Olmaliq, which might have affected their confidence. However, they managed a solid victory against Shanghai Shenhua, showcasing their attacking capabilities. Their home form has been less impressive with only a 33% success rate in the last five home matches, indicating potential vulnerabilities at home.

On the other hand, Melbourne City has been in commendable form, especially in away games, boasting a 67% success rate in their last five matches. Their ability to adapt to different playing conditions and opponents has been a highlight. Winning crucial away matches has built their confidence, making them a formidable opponent for Ulsan. The combination of strong away form and recent performances suggests that they will be a tough challenge for the hosts.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, Ulsan Hyundai FC has displayed moments of brilliance, particularly in attacking phases, but they have struggled defensively in recent outings. They currently hold a 10% probability of winning, indicating a challenging matchup ahead. Conversely, Melbourne City shows a balanced approach to both offense and defense, with a 45% chance of winning or drawing the match. Their ability to score in crucial moments could be the difference in this encounter.

Comparatively, the statistics highlight a contrast in recent performances, with Melbourne City appearing more consistent across various competitions. Ulsan’s recent loss might play a role in their psychological preparation for this match, while Melbourne will likely be riding high on their recent successes, which may give them the edge.

Head-to-Head History

When analyzing head-to-head results, the teams have not met frequently in the past, making it difficult to draw concrete conclusions. However, past encounters have shown that both teams have the capability to score, and the matches have often been closely contested. This matchup could reflect that trend, with both teams eager to assert dominance.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions on match day are expected to be favorable for football, with a temperature of 6°C and clear skies. Such conditions should not heavily influence the gameplay. However, the humidity at 56% and a moderate wind speed might affect player stamina and ball control during the match.

Playing at home, Ulsan Hyundai FC will have the support of their fans, which could boost their morale. However, their recent home form suggests they may not have the upper hand as they would hope. In contrast, Melbourne City’s strong away record indicates that they are well-prepared for challenging environments, which could play a critical role in this matchup.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistics, and influencing factors, Melbourne City appears more favorable to either win or draw the match. Ulsan Hyundai FC’s recent inconsistency at home combined with Melbourne City’s solid away performances suggests that the visitors could secure at least a point. The predicted score is 1:2 in favor of Melbourne City, reflecting their potential to overcome Ulsan’s defensive vulnerabilities.