⚽ Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia — Analytics and Prediction (10.02.2026)

Introduction

Shanghai Shenhua and Machida Zelvia are set to clash in the AFC Champions League, with both teams looking to carve out a successful path in this prestigious tournament. Shanghai Shenhua, representing China, comes into the match with a mixed bag of recent performances, while Japan’s Machida Zelvia is eager to capitalize on their recent form and take advantage of any weaknesses displayed by their opponents. Both teams will be keen to secure points early in the group stage, making this match crucial for their aspirations in the tournament.

Form Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua’s recent form has been inconsistent, with only one victory in their last ten matches, alongside three draws and six losses. Their recent outings have shown a trend of being unable to secure wins, with a notable draw against Rodina Moskva and a goalless encounter with Auda, indicating struggles in finding the back of the net. Their home form has also been disappointing, managing a mere 27% success rate in the last five home games.

In contrast, Machida Zelvia has demonstrated a more encouraging form, albeit still facing challenges in their recent fixtures. They have registered one win and one loss in their last two matches, showing resilience and offensive capability, particularly in their impressive 3-2 victory over Yokohama F. Marinos. Their away form stands at a commendable 67%, suggesting that they may thrive in the away environment against Shanghai Shenhua.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Shanghai Shenhua’s recent matches highlight a struggle to score, with only a few goals across their last games. Their defensive record has not been strong enough to compensate for their lack of scoring, as seen in their 2-1 loss to Ulsan Hyundai FC. Conversely, Machida Zelvia has shown a capacity to score more frequently, with their recent matches indicating a more aggressive approach to attacking football.

Both teams have faced varying levels of competition, with Shanghai Shenhua encountering tough teams in their league, while Machida Zelvia has faced a mix of opponents. The statistical disparity in their scoring rates and overall match outcomes suggests that Machida Zelvia may have the upper hand going into this match.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, both teams have not faced each other often, which adds an element of unpredictability to the fixture. The lack of a significant head-to-head record means that both teams will approach the match without a clear psychological advantage. This could lead to a cautious approach from both sides as they seek to establish dominance in the match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match are relatively cool with a temperature of 9°C and overcast clouds, which may affect player performance and stamina levels. Playing at Shanghai Stadium presents a home advantage for Shanghai Shenhua; however, their poor home record might negate this factor. Machida Zelvia’s higher away success rate indicates that they are more comfortable playing outside their home ground, which could be pivotal in this encounter.

Furthermore, both teams’ current form and confidence levels will be significant factors influencing the match outcome. Machida Zelvia’s recent victory could boost their morale, while Shanghai Shenhua’s lack of winning momentum may weigh heavily on their players’ minds.

Prediction and Justification

Given the analysis of both teams’ forms, statistical performances, and influential factors, it seems that Machida Zelvia is in a better position going into this match. Their ability to score and maintain a solid away performance gives them an edge. The expected outcome is that Machida Zelvia will either win or draw the match, leading to a probable scoreline of 1:2 in favor of Machida Zelvia.