⚽ Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca — Analytics and Prediction (11.01.2026)

Introduction

Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca are set to clash in an intriguing La Liga matchup at the Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes this season, with Rayo Vallecano struggling to find form, while Mallorca appears to be more competitive away from home. This encounter will be crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the league as the season progresses.

Form Analysis

Rayo Vallecano’s recent form has been disappointing, with a win rate of only 20% in their last five home matches. Their inability to convert chances into goals has been a significant issue, which poses a challenge as they prepare to face a resilient Mallorca side. The home advantage might not be enough to boost their confidence, given their current struggles.

On the other hand, Mallorca has shown a better performance on the road, with a win rate of 40% in their last five away fixtures. They have been able to secure important points, showcasing their ability to adapt to different playing conditions. This resilience could play a vital role in the upcoming match against Rayo Vallecano.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the two teams, Rayo Vallecano has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, while Mallorca has been slightly more effective in front of goal. In their previous five encounters, Mallorca has taken the upper hand, registering three wins against Rayo Vallecano’s two draws. Rayo Vallecano’s defense has also been porous, conceding more goals than they have scored, which could be a significant factor in this match.

Mallorca’s statistical advantage in head-to-head meetings indicates a psychological edge, as they have often come out on top in past encounters. The average score in their last five matches points toward a possibility of high-scoring games, suggesting that both teams might be capable of scoring in the upcoming fixture.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca reveals a pattern of Mallorca’s superiority in recent matchups. Out of the last five encounters, Mallorca has won three times, while Rayo Vallecano has managed only two draws. This trend emphasizes Mallorca’s ability to perform well against Rayo, which could impact the players’ mindset heading into the match.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, which typically provides a challenging environment for visiting teams. However, Rayo Vallecano’s poor home form may negate this advantage. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, especially if it rains, as it might affect the quality of play.

Additionally, the psychological factors stemming from their past encounters could influence player performance. Mallorca’s confidence from previous victories might motivate them to push for another positive result, while Rayo Vallecano must find a way to overcome their mental barriers to exploit any home advantage.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-head history, it is reasonable to predict that Mallorca will either win or draw the match. Rayo Vallecano’s struggles at home and Mallorca’s improved away performance suggest that the visitors will likely secure at least a point. Therefore, the prediction is for Mallorca to win or draw, with a likely score of 1:2.