⚽ Qarabag vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Analytics and Prediction (21.01.2026)

Introduction

Qarabag is set to face Eintracht Frankfurt in a crucial UEFA Champions League match. Qarabag has shown some promising form recently, with victories in their last three matches, including a notable win against Neftchi. However, their overall performance record indicates they have struggled in their last ten games, with only one win. On the other hand, Eintracht Frankfurt has had a challenging season, particularly in away fixtures, which has seen them falter in terms of consistency and results in the league and European competition. This match presents an opportunity for both sides to prove their mettle in the prestigious tournament.

Form Analysis

Qarabag’s recent form has shown a glimpse of resilience, particularly highlighted by their three consecutive victories, which has boosted their confidence. However, their overall performance in the last ten matches indicates a mixed bag, with only one win, two losses, and the remainder being draws or unplayed due to various circumstances. This inconsistency at home, where they have a 27% success rate in the last five matches, suggests they still have room for improvement.

Conversely, Eintracht Frankfurt’s form has been troubling, especially in away matches where they have only managed a 7% success rate in their last five attempts. This poor performance could weigh heavily on their morale as they head into this critical away game. The team has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, and their defensive vulnerabilities have also been exposed in recent fixtures. Both teams will be eager to convert their current forms into a positive outcome in this pivotal match.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, Qarabag has been more effective in recent matches compared to Eintracht Frankfurt. Qarabag has been able to score an impressive number of goals in their last games, with a notable 5-0 victory against Neftchi, which reflects their attacking potential. Conversely, Eintracht Frankfurt’s scoring woes have been evident, particularly in away games, where they have struggled to convert chances into goals.

When looking at possession and passing accuracy, Qarabag has maintained a competitive edge over Eintracht Frankfurt, particularly in domestic competitions, which may translate into better performance on the European stage. The overall head-to-head statistics and recent form suggest that Qarabag has a more favorable position heading into this match, making them a formidable opponent despite their mixed results overall.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, Qarabag and Eintracht Frankfurt have had limited encounters, with no significant head-to-head records to analyze. However, with the two teams playing in a European competition, the stakes are higher, and historical performances may not hold significant weight in this context. Each team will look to make a mark in their upcoming meeting, and any previous encounters may not necessarily dictate the outcome of this match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match could play a significant role, with temperatures at around 2°C and clear skies predicted. This could favor the home side, Qarabag, as players may adapt better to their familiar playing conditions. The Tofiq Bahramov Stadium will be a crucial factor as well, providing Qarabag with home ground advantage, which often translates to better performance levels and support from local fans. Additionally, Eintracht Frankfurt’s struggles in away fixtures could be compounded by the pressure of playing in a hostile environment.

Other influencing factors include the current mental state of both teams. Qarabag’s recent victories could boost their confidence, while Eintracht Frankfurt’s struggles could lead to anxiety and pressure to perform. The combination of these elements makes for an intriguing encounter with the potential for surprises.

Prediction and Justification

Taking into account the recent form, statistical insights, and influencing factors, the prediction leans towards a Qarabag victory. The home advantage, coupled with Eintracht Frankfurt’s struggles in away games, suggests that Qarabag has the upper hand. Therefore, I predict a final score of 2:1 in favor of Qarabag. This outcome reflects their recent form and the pressures faced by Eintracht Frankfurt on the road.