⚽ Pisa vs Atalanta — Analytics and Prediction (16.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Pisa and Atalanta come into this fixture with contrasting expectations in Serie A. Pisa, struggling at the lower end of the table, aims to secure crucial points to avoid relegation, while Atalanta, known for their attacking prowess and solid position in the league, looks to solidify their standing among the top teams. The match promises to be a battle of resilience versus ambition, with each side having their respective motivations on the line.

Form Analysis

Pisa’s recent form has been disappointing, with only 20% success in their last five home matches. They have struggled to both score and defend, which places them at a significant disadvantage against a more formidable opponent like Atalanta. This lack of form suggests difficulties in creating goal-scoring opportunities and maintaining defensive solidity, critical factors in avoiding defeat.

On the other hand, Atalanta has been in impressive form away from home, boasting an 80% success rate in their last five away games. Their attacking style and ability to convert chances have been pivotal in their recent successes. With a well-rounded squad and tactical flexibility, Atalanta is likely to exploit Pisa’s weaknesses effectively.

Statistical Analysis

Examining the statistics, Pisa has struggled significantly in recent matches, reflected by their inability to secure wins, while Atalanta has shown a strong capability to both score and defend. The head-to-head metrics indicate that in their last encounter, the teams drew 1-1, highlighting that while Pisa can be competitive, Atalanta’s overall quality tends to shine through in matches.

Atalanta’s goals scored per game are significantly higher than Pisa’s, suggesting that if the trend continues, Pisa will face an uphill battle to keep the scoreline respectable. Moreover, with both teams’ averages indicating a potential for less than 3.5 goals in the match, the tactical approach will be crucial in determining the outcome.

Head-to-Head History

In their most recent head-to-head matchup, Pisa and Atalanta played to a 1-1 draw. This result indicates that Pisa can hold their own against Atalanta on occasion, but it also underscores the need for Pisa to elevate their game significantly to secure a victory, particularly as Atalanta has been more consistent overall.

Influencing Factors

Weather conditions are expected to be overcast with a temperature of 11°C and humidity levels at 80%. Such conditions can affect player performance, particularly for a team like Pisa that may not be as accustomed to high-pressure situations. The match will take place at the Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, where Pisa typically enjoys home support; however, their recent home form may diminish the impact of this advantage.

Additionally, the psychological edge lies with Atalanta, who will enter the match with confidence stemming from their superior form and league position. This factor, combined with their tactical strengths, suggests that Pisa will need to adopt a defensive strategy to withstand Atalanta’s attacking threats.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the contrasting forms, statistical advantages, and head-to-head history, it is reasonable to predict that Atalanta will come out on top, if not securing a victory, at least avoiding defeat. With Pisa’s struggles evident, they will likely find it challenging to score against a robust Atalanta defense. Therefore, the anticipated scoreline is 0:2 in favor of Atalanta, reflecting their strong away performance and Pisa’s difficulties in recent matches.