⚽ Napoli vs Parma — Analytics and Prediction (14.01.2026)

Introduction

Napoli will host Parma in an exciting Serie A clash at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli, known for their attacking prowess and solid home performances, will look to secure all three points against a Parma side that has been inconsistent in their form. With both teams having their own strengths and weaknesses, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter as they battle for vital points in the league.

Form Analysis

Napoli’s recent form at home shows a mixed bag with a winning percentage of 53%. Their ability to score goals has been evident, but defensive lapses have cost them points in crucial moments. They will be keen to leverage their home advantage to regain confidence and solidify their position in the league.

On the other hand, Parma’s away form stands at 47%, which indicates they have struggled to pick up points on the road. Their recent matches have shown glimpses of potential, but their inconsistency in both attack and defense remains a concern. They will need to step up their game if they are to challenge Napoli effectively.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of head-to-head statistics, Napoli has the upper hand with three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five encounters against Parma. The average score in these matches has been 2.0 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Furthermore, the total goals over 2.5 has occurred in 2 out of the last 5 meetings, showcasing Napoli’s offensive capabilities when facing Parma.

Comparing the overall statistics of both teams, Napoli has demonstrated a stronger attacking force, while Parma’s defensive weaknesses have been apparent, particularly in away matches. This trend suggests that Napoli will likely dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Napoli and Parma reflects Napoli’s superiority in this matchup. The last five encounters have resulted in three wins for Napoli, one for Parma, and one draw. Notably, Napoli has consistently managed to score against Parma, which places them in a favorable position heading into this match.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, which is known for its electrifying atmosphere. Playing at home, Napoli will benefit from the support of their passionate fans, which can often lead to improved performances. Weather conditions are also expected to be favorable, which means both teams can play an open and attacking style of football.

Additionally, Napoli’s recent form and psychological edge in head-to-head encounters could play a crucial role in their performance. Parma will need to overcome their away form and the pressure of facing a strong opponent to secure a positive result.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, head-to-head statistics, and the home advantage Napoli possesses, the prediction leans towards a Napoli victory or a potential draw. With their offensive capabilities and Parma’s defensive vulnerabilities, the expected outcome is a win for Napoli. The final score is likely to be 2:1, reflecting a competitive match where Parma manages to find the back of the net but ultimately falls short against the home side.