⚽ Mallorca vs Athletic Club — Analytics and Prediction (17.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Mallorca and Athletic Club come into this match with their unique strengths and weaknesses. Mallorca, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage, while Athletic Club, known for their tactical discipline, will aim to secure a crucial away victory. As both teams are struggling with consistency this season, this matchup could be pivotal for both in their quest for points in La Liga.

Form Analysis

Mallorca’s home form has been less than impressive, with only a 33% success rate in their last five matches. They have struggled to convert opportunities into goals, which has hampered their ability to secure victories. Despite this, playing at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix gives them a slight edge, as the familiar surroundings may bolster their confidence.

On the other hand, Athletic Club’s away form is even poorer, with a 27% success rate in their last five outings. Their struggles on the road have been compounded by a lack of offensive firepower, often leading to draws or narrow losses. For Athletic Club, improving their away performance will be crucial to avoid dropping points in this fixture.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Mallorca has a slight advantage in recent head-to-head encounters, with a record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and no losses in the last five meetings. Their ability to maintain a solid defense has contributed to these results, with an average score of 2.2 in their encounters. Athletic Club, while defensively sound, has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, which may hinder their efforts in this match.

In terms of probabilities, Mallorca holds a 35% chance of winning, with a draw also at 35% and Athletic Club trailing at 30%. This indicates a closely contested match, with both teams having the potential to capitalize on the opponent’s weaknesses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Mallorca and Athletic Club shows a relatively balanced matchup, with Athletic Club having won 2-1 in their last encounter. However, the numerous draws indicate that both teams are often evenly matched. Recent matches have also seen a lack of goals, suggesting that this could be a low-scoring affair.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match will play a significant role, with light rain expected and temperatures around 12°C. Such conditions can affect ball control and passing accuracy, potentially leading to a more cautious approach from both sides. The home advantage for Mallorca, coupled with the familiarity of their pitch, may help them adapt better to these conditions compared to Athletic Club.

Additionally, the psychological aspect of playing at home can give Mallorca the motivation needed to perform better. With their supporters behind them, they could be more resilient in the face of adversity, especially considering Athletic Club’s struggles on the road.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, head-to-head history, and influencing factors, the prediction leans towards Mallorca securing at least a draw or potentially a win. Their home advantage, combined with Athletic Club’s poor away form, suggests that Mallorca can capitalize on the situation. Therefore, I predict a close match with Mallorca likely winning or drawing, with a probable score of 2:1.