⚽ Lecce vs Parma — Analytics and Prediction (11.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Lecce and Parma have shown varying levels of performance in the Serie A this season, creating an intriguing matchup for their upcoming clash. Lecce, currently struggling at home, will look to capitalize on their past successes against Parma, while Parma aims to leverage their better form on the road to secure valuable points in this fixture.

Form Analysis

Lecce’s recent home form has been disappointing, managing only 27% in their last five matches. Their inability to secure wins at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero has raised concerns about their ability to perform under pressure, especially against a competitive side like Parma.

In contrast, Parma has demonstrated a more positive trend in their away games, achieving a 47% success rate in their last five outings. This improvement is indicative of their resilience and adaptability when playing on the road, which could serve them well in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing statistical metrics, Lecce has experienced difficulties, evidenced by their low win percentage and average goals scored. In their last five meetings with Parma, they have managed just one victory, which highlights their struggles to consistently find the back of the net.

Parma, on the other hand, boasts a stronger head-to-head record with three wins from the last five encounters. Their scoring ability is also reflected in the average goals per game, with the last five meetings averaging 3.2 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring affairs.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Lecce and Parma favors the visitors, with Parma winning three out of the last five encounters. This trend could play a crucial role in the players’ mentality as they prepare for this match, potentially giving Parma the psychological edge.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero, where Lecce typically enjoys home support. However, their poor recent form at home could diminish the advantage that usually comes with playing in familiar surroundings. Weather conditions may also play a role, as adverse weather could affect gameplay and impact both teams’ strategies.

Additionally, Parma’s confidence from their away performance could be a significant factor, as they aim to build on their recent success. The tactical approaches of both coaches will also be instrumental in determining how the match unfolds.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form of both teams, along with their head-to-head history, it is reasonable to predict that Parma will either win or draw this match. Lecce’s struggles at home and Parma’s ability to perform better on the road combine to suggest that Parma will secure at least a point, if not all three. The predicted score is 1:2.