⚽ Girona vs Osasuna — Analytics and Prediction (10.01.2026)

Introduction

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Girona will host Osasuna at the Estadio Municipal de Montilivi. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the league, with Girona aiming for a strong home performance while Osasuna seeks to improve their away form. This match promises to be competitive given the historical context and current form of both teams.

Form Analysis

Girona has been struggling lately, with only a 47% form rating in their last five home matches. Despite having a strong squad, they have failed to convert chances into victories consistently. Their recent performances have shown defensive vulnerabilities, which could be exploited by a more robust Osasuna side.

On the other hand, Osasuna comes into this match with a slightly better away form rating of 53%. They have shown resilience in tough away games, often managing to secure points against more dominant teams. However, they will need to address their inconsistency to capitalize on any potential weaknesses in Girona’s defense.

Statistical Analysis

When we look at the statistics between the two teams, Girona has a notable edge in their recent head-to-head encounters, winning four out of the last five matches against Osasuna. This includes a significant 4-0 victory, demonstrating their attacking prowess in previous meetings. The average score of 3.6 goals per match points to a trend of high-scoring games when these teams meet, with four out of five matches exceeding two goals.

Conversely, Osasuna’s only recent win against Girona came in a closely contested match, which indicates that while they can compete, their overall scoring efficiency has been less impressive compared to Girona’s offensive capabilities. This disparity might play a critical role in the match outcome.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Girona and Osasuna shows a clear advantage for Girona, with four wins out of the last five encounters. Osasuna’s only victory came at home, which raises questions about their ability to replicate that success away from home. The historical dominance of Girona in these fixtures could mentally favor them going into this match.

Influencing Factors

Furthermore, Osasuna’s travel fatigue and Girona’s need to secure points at home could also influence the game’s tempo and intensity. A fast-paced game may favor Girona, given their attacking style and history of scoring against Osasuna.

Prediction and Justification

Considering all factors discussed, the prediction leans towards Girona either winning or drawing the match. Their historical performance against Osasuna, combined with home advantage, suggests a strong likelihood of them securing at least a point. Therefore, the predicted score is 2:1 in favor of Girona, reflecting their ability to outscore Osasuna while facing a resilient but inconsistent opponent.